Another exciting weekend of International Test Rugby awaits as we hurtle towards a potentially enthralling final weekend!

The stakes couldn’t be higher this weekend as we look ahead to the second weekend of the June Tours by the Northern Hemisphere sides south of the Equator.  South Africa and Australia will be desperate to restore some pride and confidence after getting off to a poor start against Ireland and England respectively.  Of the two, the task is perhaps even more pressing for the Springboks given the nature of their defeat to a fourteen-man Irish team last Saturday in Cape Town.  Australia were shaken up by a clinical English display but showed plenty of promise of their own, despite being hampered by some woeful discipline as a result of concerted English pressure.  Meanwhile New Zealand’s new look All Black side hit all the right gears in the last quarter and left a brave but ultimately outclassed Welsh side in the dust.  Wales will no doubt display more of the same this weekend but as the All Black juggernaut continues to gain momentum the odds are very much against them.  Canada get a chance to regroup after many of the ghosts of the past came back to haunt them against Japan last weekend, and should dispatch Russia fairly easily, while Argentina will also be building momentum against a depleted and tired French side.

Fixtures this weekend

New Zealand vs Wales
Saturday, June 18th
Wellington

Wales will have a mountain to climb in Wellington on Saturday, and let’s be honest despite the considerable courage and promise they showed last weekend, they are likely to be scrambling for footholds for the full eighty minutes.  New Zealand clicked into gear after a rusty start for the first hour but are likely to come out of the blocks all guns blazing in Wellington and keep it up all match.  The Welsh will be brave and give as good as they get at times but the odds are against them.  New Zealand showed in the last quarter of last weekend’s game that they look to set to continue where they left off at the end of the World Cup.  The new faces are settling in well and Kieran Read as Captain looks set to carry on in the footsteps of his legendary predecessor Richie McCaw.

The New Zealand pack that provided so much quality ball for their backs last weekend, returns unchanged with the exception of the mighty figure of Sam Whitelock coming in to start in the second row.  Once New Zealand started to fire in the forwards department last weekend, it rapidly turned into one-way traffic for the Men in Black and expect more of the same this weekend.  Wales will dish out as good as they get in the shape of Alun-Wyn Jones, Sam Warburton, Gethin Jenkins, Taulupe Faletau and company, but it is unlikely that they will be able to do much more than simply absorb the relentless All Black pressure leaving them little room to generate their own opportunities.

In the backs, New Zealand look to set to shred the Welsh defences and expect to see the visitors quickly tire as they try to contain the likes of Ben Smith, Waisake Naholo, Malakai Fekitoa, Ryan Crotty and Israel Dagg.  New Zealand’s halfback pairing of Aaron Smith and Aaron Cruden will comfortably dictate play all afternoon, and although Wales’s Dan Biggar and Rhys Webb are more than capable of sparking something special, it is unlikely New Zealand will give them much to work with.  Liam Williams shone at fullback last weekend and starts this Saturday on the wing for Wales.  Williams produced some real magic of his own but New Zealand are likely to be much wiser to the threat he poses than they were last weekend.  Jonathan Davies at centre continued to impress for Wales and is always an exciting player to watch but without the presence of winger George North this weekend I can’t help feeling he may not be as effective as he was last weekend.

In short, it is not going to be a question of who will win, more a case of how much will New Zealand win by?  We have the utmost respect for Wales who continue to be one of the most resilient and courageous sides in Test rugby and are more than capable of providing plenty of excitement of their own.  However, it is the end of a long and mostly painful season for Wales and the All Blacks at home is simply a bridge too far for the Welsh dragon.  New Zealand have already built the momentum in eighty minutes that it takes most sides a month to build together so Wales are clearly going to be up against it.  A brave Welsh performance, but one that is likely to implode against a full throttle New Zealand.  The All Blacks to wrap up the series in this match by at least 25 points!

Australia vs England
Saturday, June 18th
Melbourne

Australia came out of the blocks all guns blazing last weekend in Brisbane and it looked like England’s run of form was about to come to a shattering end.  However, England soon got the measure of their hosts, targeted their obvious weaknesses especially up front and proceeded to wrestle control of the match away from the Wallabies.  This is an exceptionally settled and competent English side clearly benefiting from the astute tactical vision and preparation of Coach Eddie Jones.  Expect more of the same this weekend, the difference being that Australia themselves should be that much better prepared and with a point to prove.

Australia has been subjected to the most rigorous of post-mortems particularly in the forwards department since last weekend’s dust up in Brisbane.  Australia for the most part got torn apart up front by a quietly assured English pack.  Michael Hooper and David Pocock were able to do considerable damage in the back row in the loose but once Pocock was taken off injured, despite Hooper’s heroics Australia lacked both discipline and firepower up front.  Dominated by England in the set pieces, Australia’s discipline fell apart.  This weekend sees the front row get a complete overhaul as Stephen Moore at hooker is surrounded by the much more reliable figures of props Sekope Kepu and James Slipper.  Australia really struggled at lineout time and with the likes of England’s George Kruis and Maro Itoje once more at centre stage here I can’t see much change for Australia and if they are wise this is probably an aspect of the game they will want to keep to a minimum.  Hooper will continue to be a huge problem for England in the loose but England’s James Haskell gave as good as he got and more last weekend and is likely to do the same in Melbourne this Saturday with the incomparable Billy Vunipola there to rub salt into the wound.

England soon realised last weekend that with Owen Farrell taking the kicking duties and moving to centre, the halfback pairing of George Ford and Ben Youngs really starts to click.  They have wisely chosen to stick with this combination in the starting fifteen this weekend.  Australia’s Nick Phipps for me is not of the same calibre and when things start to unravel rapidly looses his composure.  Bernard Foley showed plenty of promise last weekend and the fly half is a real talent for the Wallabies and an exceptionally cool head, hence his nickname the “Iceman”.  However, his kicking accuracy can hit some real purple patches and it is hoped that he has spent the week trying to fix this aspect of his game as had this worked last weekend the result might have been very different.

Australia has some quality backs and newcomer Dane Haylett-Petty really stood out for Australia last weekend on the wing, and expect him to have some considerable impact again this weekend.  However, I feel that given his hit and miss form at the Reds in Super Rugby Samu Kerevi is not quite there yet at centre for Australia and this was painfully evident at times this past weekend.  If Australia did not have a lack of depth at fullback, they would no doubt put Israel Folau in at centre where he has been outstanding this season for the Waratahs in Super Rugby.  Tevita Kuridrani is an exceptionally devastating ball carrier and a constant threat to opposition defences but Australia’s centre pairing is just not as clinical as England’s offering of Owen Farrell and Jonathan Joseph so once again expect England to dominate here.  England’s Jack Nowell has been chosen to start on the wing in Melbourne, and this is one of England’s most exciting players.  Fast, elusive and exceptionally strong in the tackle, expect plenty of fireworks from the Englishman on Saturday.  The match up between him and his opposite number Australia’s Dane Haylett-Petty should be a thrilling contest.  The wise head of Israel Folau at fullback comes up once more against British bulldog Mike Brown.  Brown seemed to get the better of the contest last weekend, but I would put my money on Australia again here this weekend.

In short expect another exceptionally tight contest and Australia are unlikely to make the same mistakes they did last weekend.  Australia to bounce back in a thrilling and close match with few quarters given by both sides, and take the game by three points to set up an epic series finale in Sydney next weekend!

South Africa vs Ireland
Saturday, June 18thth
Johannesburg

After the shock result of last week, we expect most rugby fans will be glued to their televisions screens tomorrow for this one.  The big question is can the Springboks rise to the occasion in much the same fashion they did after the defeat to Japan in the World Cup?  I may be wrong as I was in my prediction of last week’s result between these two, but I have a hunch they will.  Ireland are going to put South Africa to the test once more, but at altitude and on the hallowed pitch of Ellis Park I can’t help feeling that the pride in the Springbok jersey must surely be restored and much like the England/Australia series an epic finale will be set up for the third and final Test.

There is no question that a strong Springbok team, at least on paper, played poorly last weekend against an inspired and heroic Irish team.  Debates aside about the reckless tackle by Irish flanker CJ Stander on Springbok fly half Pat Lambie, and we side with the officials on that one, Ireland outplayed South Africa and were the more intelligent of the two sides as they put in a memorable performance with just fourteen men.  Up front Ireland were disciplined and focused and refused to be rattled by South Africa’s physical presence.  The Irish were better organised and simply did the basics more effectively than the Springboks.  Lock Devin Toner had the game of his career in the lineouts alongside the equally impressive Ian Henderson and made the normally all conquering duo of Lood de Jaeger and Eben Etzebeth seem almost nonexistent.  Once South Africa brought in newcomer Pieter-Steph du Toit the Springboks fortunes improved but it was too little too late.  Du Toit starts in the second row this weekend alongside Etzebeth and expect a much more dynamic performance from South Africa as a result.  South Africa’s back row and number eight Duane Vermeulen failed to impress last weekend and there is no change here this weekend which I fear South Africa will regret, as in my opinion Lions number eight Warren Whiteley should be getting the starting berth especially in front of his home crowd.  Ireland on the other hand mix things up moving lock Ian Henderson to the flanker position where he seems equally at home.  Jamie Heaslip was outstanding at number eight for Ireland and expect more of the same this weekend.  Ireland should maintain their dominance here over South Africa.

It’s in the halfback battle where there should be plenty of excitement and intrigue.  Lions pair scrum half Faf de Klerk and fly half Elton Jantjies are in the Springboks starting line up at Ellis Park.  These two have been consistently lighting up pitches in Super Rugby and are going to provide Ireland with plenty of headaches.  While Jantjies and de Klerk found the adjustment to Test rugby last weekend a bit of a baptism of fire, they are likely to be much more settled this weekend, especially playing in front of their home crowd.  The Irish pair of veteran scrum half Conor Murray and fly half Paddy Jackson who really played beyond his years last weekend, will give as good as they get, but I am giving the South African duo home field advantage in this contest.

In the backs, a thrilling contest awaits.  Once again I am puzzled by the South African selection at fullback, and I cannot really accept the quota excuse that is being bandied about so much as a reason for South Africa’s failings.  Willie le Roux is clearly a long way off the form of his glory days two years ago, while the Lions Ruan Combrinck has been on fire for the last two seasons of Super Rugby.  That le Roux who had an absolute shocker last weekend is the starting fullback for South Africa while Combrinck is consigned to the bench defies all logic and is a decision I fear South Africa might pay dearly for.  Furthermore, I cannot see for the life of me how such a decision has anything with the quota politics supposedly plaguing South African rugby – the same could apply to the Vermeulen vs Warren Whiteley starting debate. Ireland’s answer at fullback in the shape of Jared Payne ran rings around le Roux last weekend.  Payne is proving to be devastatingly effective at fullback for Ireland and has the kind of class that is just a distant memory for le Roux.  Ireland chooses to experiment this weekend in the centres as Robbie Henshaw gets a new partner in Stuart Olding.  I applaud the risk taking by Ireland but you can’t help feeling sorry for Luke Marshall who made such a positive impression last weekend and sadly doesn’t even make the bench this weekend.  However, I am really excited to see Ulster’s Craig Gilroy get a start on the wing for Ireland and he along with Marshall must surely play a big part in Ireland’s future plans.  The battle of the backs really could go either way and despite Schmidt’s risk taking I am giving a slight edge to Ireland unless the Springbok unit really steps up its game from the previous week, which let’s face it is more than likely, and as centre Lionel Mapoe is also playing in front of his home crowd he’s more than likely to create some serious magic for the Springboks given any kind of opportunity.

In short a fascinating battle awaits with both sides having everything to play for.  If Ireland play well, then they are likely to set the series up for a breath taking finale in Port Elizabeth a week from now.  However, as the Springboks run out in front of a home crowd desperate to see them restore pride to a battered Springbok jersey it may just be all a bit too much for Ireland at times.  If the Springboks can ignite the passion in themselves and the crowd that goes with the Springbok legend this Saturday, then in one of the cathedrals of International Test Rugby, Ellis Park, it should just be South Africa’s day after eighty epic minutes.  A game that will swing from one end of the park to the other for the duration, but the Irish may start to tire at altitude after their heroics of the previous week.  South Africa to just take the match by five points and set up a humdinger of a finale next weekend!

Argentina vs France
Sunday, June 19th
Tucuman

We have to be honest here, as we haven’t really followed the French domestic competition, the Top 14 this year we don’t know as much as we would like to about the French offering for this Test.  We do know a great deal about the cards that Argentina is laying on the table and as a result can say with confidence that they are fielding an exceptionally strong hand.  France does have some big names in this squad, but they have literally been press ganged into service and onto the plane, so it may be difficult at times for them to be as fresh to the task at hand as French Coach Guy Noves would like them to be.

Argentina were made to work hard by Italy last weekend but are unlikely to have the same problems settling this weekend.  Having been reunited with their inspirational Coach Daniel Hourcade, and a good practice run against Italy to iron out the wrinkles behind them, expect the Pumas to ramp their game up considerably this weekend.  This is an all star Pumas squad and should easily be able to get the better of a half baked French team.  Of the names we are less familiar with from a Pumas perspective, Facundo Isa put in a stellar performance last week at number eight along with Manuel Montero at centre and Matias Moroni on the wing and expect more of the same this weekend.  Meanwhile the rest of the Pumas squad boasts a significant complement of who’s who in international Test Rugby.  If names like Joaquin Tuculet, Santiago Cordero, Juan Martin Hernandez, Agustin Creevy, Guido Petti, Tomas Lavanini and Martin Landajo are not part of your household rugby vocabulary then we would ask what you’ve been watching in the past year in terms of rugby.

France will pack some big guns and learn some valuable lessons about emerging talent in the process but are unlikely to overwhelm a “Super” Pumas squad at home.  Louis Picamoles and Rabah Slimani will lend some much needed experience to a young and promising forward pack for France but are unlikely to overcome the Argentinian juggernaut.  Jules Plisson surprisingly takes the Captain’s role at fly half but is simply no match for the brilliant Pumas fly half Nicholas Sanchez particularly when it comes to accuracy at the kicking tee.  Jonathan Danty and Hugo Bonneval will add some real talent to the French backline at centre and fullback respectively, but the French backs will be working overtime trying to contain the Argentinian speedsters.  Furthermore, after an exhausting domestic season the question remains as to how much gas these French players really have left in the tank?

In short it should be the Pumas day by a comfortable margin.  France will still want to impress new Coach Guy Noves on his first overseas tour and provide moments of brilliance as a result.  However, to defeat one of the best all round teams in Test Rugby right now is going to require something special that the French are unlikely to be able to produce.  Therefore, an exciting display of Pumas rugby awaits with the Argentinians emerging as comfortable winners by at least ten points!

Canada vs Russia
Saturday, June 18th
Calgary

After the disappointment of last weekend, despite some considerable promise on show, Canada will want to put in a powerful performance this weekend to clearly lay down the marker for their ultimate test next weekend against Italy.

We must confess to knowing little if anything about Russian rugby and as a result it is rather hard to talk with any kind of authority about what we might expect from the visitors in Calgary on Saturday.  Despite Canada’s continuing problems at halfback and in the kicking department, none of which appear to have changed for Saturday’s match, Canada is fielding an exceptionally strong team which should more than cover for the above mentioned weaknesses.

Canada should emerge comfortable winners here, unless Russia are an unknown force waiting to be discovered.  Expect another big set of performances from the forwards with Hooker Ray Barkwill and lock Jamie Cudmore providing the experience needed.  As mentioned last week, Lucas Rumball at lock looks to be an exceptionally exciting and potent weapon for Canada and veteran number eight Aaron Carpenter can be relied on for another stellar shift at the coalface.  Prop Djustice Sears-Duru was a force of nature against Japan and expect more of the same this weekend.  If lock Evan Olmstead can get his discipline under control, then he will be a force to reckon with at scrum time and in the loose and lineouts.  The back line sees little change with the exciting Taylor Paris once more on the wing and Matt Evans’ reliable boot and brain at fullback.  I expect to see winger Dan Moor really cut loose in this match as he did in the Americas Rugby Championship, and the centres see Nick Blevins experience complement newcomer Mozac Samson who also caught peoples’ attention in the recent Americas Rugby Championship.

In short, barring any unexpected surprises, Canada should walk away with the match at Russia’s expense.  It should be an excellent opportunity for Coach Mark Anscombe to settle his charges and really prepare them for a gruelling test against a rejuvenated Italy next weekend in Toronto.  Canada to give the Russians a telling rugby schooling by at least twenty points!

The first weekend of the June Tours provides thrills and spills galore!

In a fast and furious weekend of Test Rugby we have a quick look at what stood out for us in a superb start to the June Tours.  As expected a new look New Zealand struggled to gel initially for the first hour but once they did were able to put a brave Welsh side to the sword.  England continued to build on their momentum of the Six Nations and produced a masterclass display against Australia.  The big shock of the weekend was without a doubt the superhuman performance of a 14-man Irish side against the Springboks in Cape Town, resulting in a first ever win on South African soil for Ireland and cracking the series wide open.  Meanwhile Argentina had to work hard to silence an enthusiastic and much improved Italian team, and Canada’s new Coach Mark Anscombe, while no doubt feeling good about many aspects of Canada’s performance against Japan, was nevertheless haunted by many of the ghosts of his predecessor as Canada ultimately fell short of the mark in Vancouver.

New Zealand vs Wales
Final Score – New Zealand 39/Wales 21
Auckland

As expected New Zealand were made to work exceptionally hard for the first hour, as they sought to settle in a new team.  However, once they did they showed just how quickly All Black sides are able to adjust and adapt as they proceeded to tear Wales apart in the final quarter.  Wales were exceptionally brave and as predicted showed an incredible resilience in handling the mounting All Black challenge, and the fact that Wales were leading 18-15 at half time just goes to show how competitive they were.  New Zealand were faced with a worthy opponent in Auckland, though now that the All Blacks clearly have the measure of the game they want to play, the remaining two Tests are going to be an epic challenge for an increasingly fatigued and at times overwhelmed Welsh team.

Wales met the All Blacks head on in the first half and capitalised on New Zealand’s mistakes and uncertainties.  They were worthy of their three-point lead over the All Blacks at half time.  Their defence had been superb and they were able to match anything New Zealand could offer up physically.  The experience and strength of Welsh prop Gethin Jenkins, lock Alun-Wyn Jones, Flanker Sam Warburton and number 8 Taulupe Faletau were immense.  Rhys Webb had a superb game at scrum half with centre Jonathan Davies and fullback Liam Williams being a constant threat on attack.  It was a solid team effort from Wales which really only started to flag in the last quarter.  Once New Zealand had found the keys to unpick the Welsh defence, they were able to run in three unanswered tries in the final twenty minutes.

As for New Zealand, despite struggling to find their feet at times in the first half, they quickly settled and put rest to any fears that this new look team might not be made of the same caliber as the all-conquering New Zealand side of the last four years culminating in last year’s World Cup triumph.  Number 8 and new Captain Keiran Read slotted easily into the mighty boots left behind by his legendary predecessor Richie McCaw, and was rewarded for his efforts by a fine try of his own.  It was New Zealand’s half back partnership of scum half Aaron Smith and fly half Aaron Cruden along with the backs who really stole the show in Auckland.  Aaron Cruden made a welcome return to the number 10 jersey while Aaron Smith was a constant spark for New Zealand’s attacking platform.  Ben Smith at fullback was outstanding all night and showed just what an exceptional player he is in defence and attack.  As he did briefly in an All Black jersey last year before being taken out of New Zealand’s World Cup plans through injury, winger Waisake Naholo was electric and clearly outshone his partner on the wing Julian Savea who still seems to be battling with some erratic form.  Meanwhile the loss of Ma’a Nonu and Conrad Smith at centre seemed to be a mere passing footnote when you have successors like Malakai Fekitoa and Ryan Crotty ready to fill their boots.  The All Black bench made their presence known through Beauden Barrett and TJ Perenara and in short this was an exceptionally healthy start for the 2016 edition of the All Blacks.

On a side note, one has to mention the bizarre decision by referee Wayne Barnes in disallowing a perfectly legitimate try by New Zealand.  Barnes tends to display a slight arrogance at times and is not overly liked by players and coaches.  Despite the clear evidence of the replay and the advice to the contrary of his TMO and touch judges, Barnes deemed a pass by All Black replacement scrum half TJ Perenara was forward.  This kind of blinkered view and subjective decision making by the referee especially once he has asked for the advice of his colleagues, has no place at the top level of International Test Rugby and we can only hope that Barnes gets taken to task on the issue before he is in charge of officiating another Test match.

Australia vs England
Final Score – Australia 28/England 39
Brisbane

There is no denying that on the back of their Six Nations triumph, England are looking good and Coach Eddie Jones is having a dream start to his first season in charge of the Men in White.  England put in a textbook performance in Brisbane which ensured they were able to completely contain and subjugate Australia while creating plenty of magic of their own.  It is unlikely that they are likely to have things go so well in their favour the second time around this weekend in Sydney, but their ability to dictate the tempo of the game in Brisbane will mean that Australia will have to up their game considerably if they are to avoid a series whitewash.  Australia may have been shocked by England’s finesse last Saturday, but it is unlikely they will be caught in the same traps this Saturday in Melbourne.  They let themselves get bullied by England and often came off second best in the physical battles leading to a critical breakdown in discipline, as the penalty count against Australia was their biggest Achilles Heel in Brisbane.

Despite the result, Australia were clearly getting the better of England in the opening stages as they led 10-0 and were playing at a blinding pace.  The key for England was that they did not panic and held their resolve and most importantly their composure under pressure.  As a result, they were able to slowly turn the screw on Australia in defence and swing the game in their favor.  As the game wore on England were superb in dictating the tempo of the game, and as Australia struggled to adapt their discipline started to crack allowing a better organised England to gain the ascendancy.  England seemed to read and set the ebb and flow of the game much better than Australia and as a result the Wallabies were left having to constantly try and second guess England’s game plan while their own often fell apart.  England were superior in the scrums, which to be honest were a disaster for Australia.  England’s set piece play was far more clinical than that of the Wallabies and they just looked a more cohesive and effective unit overall.  It was a complete team effort from England with possibly the only weak link in the chain being Centre Luther Burrell.  George Ford made a promising return to form off the bench at fly half as Owen Farrell moved to centre to replace Burrell.  Lock Maro Itoje was his usual superhuman self for the full eighty minutes and is clearly on the radar for player of the year.

There was no question that Australia played some very exciting rugby at times and are likely to only get better for the remaining two games of the series.  However, they were just not as clinical or well organised as England and at times their discipline was atrocious.  The scrum was an area of serious concern for the Wallabies in Brisbane and has no doubt undergone open-heart surgery this week, along with a real need to fix the lineouts.  On the positives though, Australia’s back play at times, especially in the opening twenty minutes was electric, and centre Tevita Kuridrani, fullback Israel Folau and newcomer winger Dane Haylett-Petty really stood out.  New Australian centre Samu Kerevi however struggled at times to make the transition from Super Rugby.  Kerevi is a promising player but his inexperience at this level was plain to see at times.  Fly-half Bernard Foley, although often impressive was certainly not his “Iceman” self when it came to the kicking duties, and I am often unimpressed with scrum-half Nick Phipps and Saturday night in Brisbane was no exception.

England are going to be tough to beat in this series, but Australia should rise to the challenge.  It remains to be seen if the Wallabies can get the resolve needed quickly enough to level the series one apiece on Saturday night in Melbourne and catch the English off guard.

South Africa vs Ireland
Final Score – South Africa 20/Ireland 26
Cape Town

Of all the results this weekend this was the most surprising and let’s face it few of us saw it coming.  That Ireland were able to beat South Africa on home soil for the first time ever and with only 14 men says either a lot about Ireland or a lot about the problems facing South African rugby.  We’d argue it’s a bit of both.  After a disappointing World Cup, in which their chances had been blown out of proportion, Ireland struggled through a disappointing Six Nations while their clubs rarely made much of an impression in Europe.  Still write the Irish off these days at your extreme peril.  Despite the initial World Cup hangover, there is still a growing body of up and coming rugby talent coming through the ranks in Ireland.  As many hoped it would Saturday’s match showed that there is plenty of life left in Ireland after the likes of Johnny Sexton, Brian O’Driscoll, Rob Kearney and Paul O’Connell to name but a few.

South Africa may be beset by a myriad of problems particularly at the political level in rugby, but it is still able to put together teams that on paper boast some of the best talent in the game.  Saturday’s starting lineup boasted plenty of world class names that should have made this Springbok side a force to be reckoned with.  While, like Ireland, some of the big names of the past are no longer there, there is a body of talent in the making that would be the envy of most countries.  Despite a new Coaching regime, there were still enough players having the talent and experience required to ensure that the Springbok side that ran out Saturday afternoon in Cape Town was a force to be reckoned with, making Ireland the clear underdogs.

So what went wrong for South Africa?  In short Ireland, played a smarter game especially when they were reduced to 14 men and used their opportunities when they came much more effectively than South Africa.  The Springboks looked disjointed and lacking a clear idea of what they were trying to do.  The fact that they could not capitalise on their one-man advantage for a full sixty minutes is hard to believe.  A lot of their wonder weapons such as number eight Duane Vermeulen and fullback Willie le Roux simply didn’t fire, and in the case of le Roux played probably one of his worst games ever in a Springbok jersey.  To be honest the last time le Roux stood out for me in Springbok colors was the 2013/14 season, making me wonder if he hasn’t past his sell by date.  Ruan Combrinck of the Lions would for me be a much better player to develop at fullback as he has been utterly outstanding for his provincial side the Lions for the last two Super Rugby seasons.  There were some positives for South Africa in the shape of new scrum half Faf de Klerk who started well in a Springbok jersey and is likely to quickly adapt to the rigors of Test Rugby.  Also lock Pieter-Steph du Toit made an immediate impact once he came off the bench and clearly had the hunger that his second row colleagues Eben Etzebeth and Lood de Jaeger seemed to be lacking for much of the match.  Overall though it was a poor Springbok performance that more than anything seemed to lack any real conviction or purpose.  These are talented and world class players and there is little if any excuse for the substandard effort that was on display in Cape Town.  It is unlikely to be of the same calibre this weekend at Ellis Park. For the sake of Springbok rugby which seems rather beleaguered of late, we hope that a wounded Springbok is a rejuvenated Springbok this Saturday in Johannesburg.

Ireland on the other hand will do one of two things, implode due to over confidence or take the rebuilding process post the World Cup to another level.  What we saw from the Irish on Saturday in Cape Town will be talked about for a long time to come.  Going into the game as massive underdogs, few of us, myself included expected anything other than a humbling by the Springboks.  What we got instead was an inspired performance that was both heroic and exceptionally intelligent in equal measures.  Ireland’s blend of experienced heads and young talent produced a display that kept the Springboks in check and having to play catch up rugby for the full eighty minutes, even though Ireland had to do it with just fourteen men for sixty minutes.  There has been much debate about the red card handed out to lock CJ Stander for his charge down of a kick by Springbok fly half Pat Lambie.  Stander’s hip connected with Lambie’s face sending the fly half crashing to the ground, resulting in him being stretchered off.   While some felt the red card did not merit the offence, I must say I beg to differ.  Although there was clearly no malice in Stander’s actions his enthusiasm was clearly reckless and therefore dangerous.  This is not schoolboy rugby and at this level you expect professionals to maintain a certain standard.  As a result, well-intentioned but reckless behaviour has no place at this level of the modern game.

However, despite this unfortunate incident, Ireland were able to regroup and put on a masterful display of fourteen-man rugby.  Their scrums were solid, and lock Devin Toner was able to dominate the lineouts for Ireland against his supposedly superior opponents.  For the most part Ireland and Captain Rory Best’s decision making was outstanding.  Jamie Heaslip at number eight, put in one of those special performances that only he seems capable of when he pulls on an Irish shirt – in a word inspirational.  Even winger Andrew Trimble provided some sterling service shoring up the scrum on the flank after Stander’s exit.  Luke Marshall at centre had a fantastic outing with his partner Robbie Henshaw and showed some real promise for the future.  Henshaw himself was a key part of Ireland’s success despite his yellow card halfway through the first half.  Lastly, Jared Payne at fullback showed that surely this position must now be his for the foreseeable future as he ran rings around his South African counterpart, the ineffectual Willie le Roux.

Ireland can take enormous heart from this epic performance.  Coach Joe Schmidt’s planning and preparedness as usual left no stone unturned and expect the same again this Saturday from Ireland with the added factor of altitude thrown in just to complicate matters.  If they’re this good against South Africa with just 14 men, what can they do with 15 for a full eighty minutes?  However, this is likely to be a significantly tougher challenge as even with the problems running through Springbok management at the moment it is unlikely that South Africa will be the pushover they were last weekend.  The Irish will retain the tag of clear underdogs though perhaps by not such a heavy weighting as they had last week, but we fancy they must just like it that way and it certainly doesn’t seem to do them any harm!

Argentina vs Italy
Final Score – Argentina 30/Italy 24
Comodoro Rivadavia

We must confess to having predicted a bit more of a one sided contest here, but for Italy the closeness of the score line against one of the top five teams in the world right now must be an enormous confidence booster.  A new look Italy under new Coach Conor O’Shea acquitted themselves exceptionally well on their first outing in Argentina, and as a result are going to be very tough to beat for their last two opponents this month, the USA and Canada.  Nevertheless, Argentina still won the match and in so doing showcased much of the talent that is likely to make life so difficult for a depleted and exhausted French side over the next two weeks.

Italy looked really good at times in this match and were able to compete for the full eighty minutes, something which they have often failed to do at this level.  Their discipline once more proved to trip them up at times, and it was this that would ensure that Argentina were able to gain the upper hand in the points tally.  Italy were able to match Argentina in tries scored, but it was the boot of Argentina’s Nicolas Sanchez which would leave them with a rather expensive bill to pay.  Still as a first start under a new Coaching regime there was a lot to get excited about.  Italy’s scrums held up relatively well under the Argentinian forward juggernaut, and flanker Simone Favaro was outstanding in the loose.  Carlo Canna continued to really grow into the role of fly half and put in some very useful work with the boot which kept Italy in contention all match.  Winger Leonardo Sarto and Michele Campagnaro at Centre provided Italy with plenty of spark in attack with Campagnaro continuing to show why he is one of Europe’s rising stars.

Argentina, though managed to keep their calm despite the ferocity of the Italian challenge at times.  Although the Pumas execution lacked some of the finesse we saw in the World Cup, it was clear that with every outing leading up to this year’s Rugby Championship they are going to improve.  Argentina has an outstanding group of players, their only Achilles Heel being a continuing costly lack of discipline at times, as seen in lock Guido Petti’s yellow card.  Petti was outstanding all match which makes his disciplinary lapses all the more frustrating.  Flanker Pablo Matera was his usual domineering self, but number eight Facundo Isa really stood out for me.  He made me sit up and take notice a few times in last year’s World Cup, and it would seem that he is grooming himself to be the excellent Leonardo Senatore’s eventual replacement.  Fly half Nicolas Sanchez and scrum half Martin Landajo seemed to find the rhythm that has often eluded them in their Super Rugby exploits with the Jaguares.  Meanwhile Argentina’s backs were as always a constant source of danger whenever they got the ball.  There is such pedigree already in the youngsters Santiago Cordero and Manuel Montero, that International Rugby is going to be seeing a great deal of these two exciting wingers in the years to come.  Joaquin Tuculet is rapidly emerging as one of the world’s best fullbacks while Juan Martin Hernandez “The Magician” lived up to his nickname alongside his exciting partner in centerfield Matias Moroni.

Argentina were ultimately the better team, although not by much, and Coach Daniel Hourcade will know that the next two weeks will be key in ironing out the wrinkles in his charges to prepare them for their big test later this summer when they start their fifth Rugby Championship.  Meanwhile Italy will take great heart from their new beginnings and be keen to keep the momentum going for the remainder of a Tour that should provide them with some excellent experience.

Canada vs Japan
Final Score – Canada 22/Japan 26
Vancouver

There were a lot of positives in this match for Canada and I do not want to detract from that, however, unlike many who are lauding Canada’s first outing under their new Coach Mark Anscombe, I can’t help feeling that it is far too early to be reaching for the champagne.  Canada played very well at times, but ultimately lost a match in which they had a man advantage.  Canada’s inability to close out big games in the last quarter once more came back to haunt them with a vengeance.  Add to this the fact that Canada still does not have a kicker or much of kicking game, and we are not much better off at the end of the first eighty minutes of 2016 than we were at the end of the last eighty minutes of last year.

All that aside though there were some aspects of this Canadian performance that really made you get out of your seat and feel some genuine optimism for the future.  Let’s talk about Ray Barkwill at Hooker for starters.  Already a tireless workhorse of Canadian rugby, Barkwill was just superb in this match and a huge source of inspiration for the rest of his young and inexperienced teammates, as was clearly evident when he scored Canada’s second try.  Prop Djustice Sears-Duru put in a massive shift and his athleticism and pace at times was remarkable.  It is obvious why he has been snatched up with such relish by Glasgow Warriors.  Jamie Cudmore is a legend in his own time at lock and the tender age of 37, and it is obvious that he brings a certain awe factor to the game for his younger colleagues.  Lucas Rumball at flanker made a huge impression on us in the recent Americas Rugby Championship and he is clearly going to be a player to watch as Canada prepares for Japan in 2019.  Aaron Carpenter, despite his unfortunate yellow card, had an outstanding game at number 8 rewarded by a solid try of his own. In the backs, Matt Evans put in a solid shift at fullback with a fabulous return to form by Taylor Paris on the wing.  I must say I like the look of the new caps in the back line.  Dan Moor impressed on the wing in the Americas Rugby Championship and Brock Staller looked sharp at centre alongside Nick Blevins.

The biggest problem I see for Canada is the continuing lack of an effective and functional halfback pairing.  Gordon McRorie is an adequate scrum half but he somehow lacks the energy and vision needed to really allow Canada to compete.  Meanwhile Pat Parfrey may grow into the halfback role but at the moment he seems to be having trouble stamping any kind of authority on the position.  Add to this that neither of the two provide Canada with any kind of reliable kicking option or platform and it means they are likely to continue to struggle when it comes to asserting and maintaining any kind of authority on the overall run of play.  If Canada had had this in this match a win would have been a certainty.  Instead at least nine points got left out on the park.  If this isn’t addressed and soon, then the last quarter of every match is likely to remain on a knife edge for Canada, and as we have seen all too often over the last two years, Canada ends up on the wrong side of the chopping block.

The squad has plenty of heart and talent and under Coach Anscombe there is likely to be a greater sense of urgency to fix the problems and get results.  Consequently, we feel it’s early days to be judging Canada on the basis of this performance alone.  Italy will be a huge test, especially after the Azurri put in such a credible performance against the Pumas.  Mark Anscombe in his first few weeks on the job has a very long to do list.  However, despite the problems still persisting in Canadian rugby, based on some of the talent we’ve seen in Canada’s outings so far this year we would argue he has more than enough to work with to get the job done, providing he can find the answers to the halfback questions.

June sees the return of International Test Rugby as the Northern Hemisphere sides travel South and Canada has a chance to really lay down some markers for the future in three eagerly anticipated fixtures

It’s that time of the year again as International Test Rugby returns to the front and centre of everyone’s attention as the Northern Hemisphere sides journey South to test their mettle against the Southern Hemisphere’s Big Three.  After a relatively disappointing Six Nations, in which England were the clearly dominant side, we really get to see how big the gulf is between North and South.  As opposed to the rather tepid offerings so far this year in the Six Nations and the European Champions Cup, the Southern Hemisphere’s Super Rugby Tournament has caught everyone’s attention in terms of excitement.  New Zealand sides are clearly in a league of their own, but there have been some impressive outings from some of the Australian and South African teams.  Canada meanwhile have three exciting home Tests to look forward to starting with Japan and ending with a new look Italy who themselves will be put through their paces by Argentina this Saturday.  June will provide us with a genuine smorgasbord of Test Rugby and a clear idea of who’s who in the zoo post last year’s World Cup.

Fixtures this weekend

New Zealand vs Wales
Saturday, June 11th
Auckland

Many people are predicting with good reason, a very painful afternoon in Auckland for Wales courtesy of their hosts and World Champions, the mighty All Blacks.  It is hard to disagree with this common sentiment.  Of all the Northern Hemisphere sides on tour this June Wales by far have the hardest task.  Welsh rugby has not been in the best of health since the World Cup.  A dismal showing in the Pro 12 by Welsh sides and even worse at the European Champions Cup level topped off by a Six Nations campaign that can really only be described as a massive disappointment, finds the Men in Red demoralised and without a clear game plan.  The All Blacks on the other hand while having lost some of the names that helped to play such a pivotal role in creating the All Black legend of the last four years, are still blessed with such depth in terms of emerging talent and seasoned veterans that it will be very hard for a jaded Welsh side to be competitive for one Test let alone three.

However, one writes off the Welsh at their peril.  While Welsh rugby may be in some degree of disarray at the moment, this is still a highly resilient side that boasts some impressive names.  Furthermore, some Welsh players such as Alun-Wyn Jones and Captain Sam Warburton have shown that their ability to soak up the most intense pressure is the stuff of legends.  A Welsh win on Saturday, would be a miracle in the making however I for one have no doubt that New Zealand will be made to work exceptionally hard at times for the privilege of a win and they will find the Welsh worthy opponents.

New Zealand may be fielding a new look team, but as this year’s Super Rugby has shown so far, the raft of emerging talent in New Zealand seems limitless.  There are enough seasoned veterans in the All Black line up to lend the experience needed to complement the youth and enthusiasm of the newcomers.  There may be some fresh faces in an All Black shirt on Saturday, but all these players have proved their worth time and again on Super Rugby pitches over the last few months.  The skill levels on display by New Zealand sides in this year’s Super Rugby competition have been quite surreal at times.

Either way you look at it, this is going to be a huge physical battle up front, and with their ability to absorb incredible amounts of pressure Wales will expect to be competitive here and most likely make their greatest impact on the match.  Having said that however they will be up against an impressive and incredibly mobile All Black forward pack.  In the front row for Wales, despite some impressive experience in the shape of Gethin Jenkins along with the dynamic Samson Lee and Ken Owens, New Zealand should still have the edge.  The Crusaders duo of Joe Moody and Owen Franks have been outstanding this year, and Hooker Dane Coles is his own phenomenon.  Coles is not only exceptionally competitive in the scrums, he also boasts a speed and eye for opportunity that would be the envy of most wingers.  Give Coles any kind of loose ball in the open and expect him to cover the length of the pitch at a pace that many 100 metre sprinters would have trouble matching.  In short, one of the All Blacks wonder weapons, the only chink in
his armor being an occasionally erratic performance in throwing in to the lineouts.  Wales has some real strength in the second row in the shape of the legendary Alun-Wyn Jones who will give his All Black counterpart the equally impressive Brodie Retallick an epic struggle all afternoon.  However, New Zealand should edge this battle as Retallick’s partner Luke Romano has more than enough power and ability to overwhelm Wales Bradley Davies.  In the back row the battle between New Zealand’s Sam Cane and Welsh Captain Sam Warburton is one of the most eagerly anticipated contests of the month.  Sam Cane has impressed for the Chiefs consistently over the last two years and is a worthy replacement for All Black legend Richie McCaw.  Sam Warburton’s motivation and sheer endurance is always a sight to behold and his ability to rally his troops when their backs are against the wall will be invaluable on Saturday.  Completing the forward pack New Zealand’s Kieran Read takes over the Captaincy at number eight up against the equally impressive Welsh number eight Taulupe Faleteau.  Expect plenty of fireworks between these two, but if Read finds his form expect him to cross the try line for New Zealand at least once.  Faletau is no slouch and at times was one of the standout performers of Wales’s faltering Six Nations campaign so expect some competition.  As much talent as there is in this Welsh forward unit the sheer mobility and skill set of their New Zealand counterparts should see that ultimately the All Blacks run this aspect of the game on Saturday at Wales’ expense.  With the likes of flanker Ardie Savea and prop Wyatt Crockett waiting on the bench for New Zealand, enough said.

As talented as they may be as a half back partnership Wales’ Dan Biggar and Rhys Webb are no match for the likes of New Zealand’s Aaron Smith and Aaron Cruden.  While Cruden may be making a long awaited return to the number 10 jersey, and questions may remain about his form at Test level, there is no doubt of his talent and ability.  Aaron Smith at halfback is in a league of his own and is going to be an endless headache for his Welsh counterpart, Rhys Webb.  Although Dan Biggar has an exceptionally reliable boot and is developing his ability to run the Welsh game plan, he is no match for the sheer creativity of Cruden if he finds his form in an All Black jersey.  With TJ Perenara and Beauden Barrett waiting on the bench for New Zealand the halfback battle is going to be all about the All Blacks with Wales simply trying to keep up.

In the backs, it should once again be New Zealand’s day.  Just look at the names.  On the wings, Julian Savea and Waisake Naholo, at centre Ryan Crotty and Malakai Fekitoa and backing it all up at number 15 is one of the best in the world – Ben Smith.  Naholo has been one of the revelations of this year’s Super Rugby season scoring tries at leisure while Savea has made an impressive return to form.  Fekitoa has been outstanding for the Highlanders while Crotty has been instrumental in getting the Crusaders back to their winning ways.  Wales have some impressive names in the shape of centre Jamie Roberts, winger George North and fullback Liam Williams.  However, these three have been very erratic in terms of form post the World Cup, with Roberts being far too predictable.  Quite frankly this aspect of the contest is most likely to be all about New Zealand for the full eighty minutes.

So in short a spirited Welsh side is likely to make New Zealand work hard for the first 50 minutes, but then are likely to tire quickly allowing the floodgates to open for New Zealand as the likes of Coles, Crotty, Savea, Naholo and Fekitoa start to run riot.  There is not enough on the Welsh bench to turn around the inevitable ascendancy of the All Blacks and as a result the last quarter should see New Zealand crossing the white line at least three times.  This new look New Zealand side may struggle to gel in the first quarter, giving the Welsh a false sense of security, but as we have seen so many times in the past, All Black sides very rarely take more than 40 minutes to figure out both the basics and the measure of their opponents.  Therefore, with little hesitation we are calling this one in favour of New Zealand by 25 points.

Australia vs England
Saturday, June 11th
Brisbane

Of all the games this weekend this is probably the biggest wild card and the one which is most likely to see a Northern Hemisphere side come out on top.  England arrive as triumphant Six Nations champions and under new Coach Eddie Jones have found a new confidence after the debacle of the World Cup.  Some exciting new players have really stood up and been counted so far this year and this is definitely an England side on the rise – to what heights they have risen will become clear over the coming weeks.  Australia are also in the process of rebuilding under the guidance of one of the wiliest coaches in International Rugby in the shape of Michael Cheika who knows how to get results.  Although Australian sides have had a slow start to this year’s Super Rugby, their two top sides the Brumbies and Waratahs have started to peak at just the right time and as a result are providing Australia with some excellent preparation for this series against England.  While I personally think that Australia are only going to get better this month, ultimately at England’s expense and thus take the series, I think that this opening Test in Brisbane could well go England’s way.  Of all the three big Test series this month this is likely to be the most closely contested.

Up front the battle of the front rows should be epic.  However, I am going to hand it to England.  The contest between the two Hookers and Captains, England’s Dylan Hartley and Australia’s Stephen Moore will be fascinating and very evenly matched.  Both renowned as hotheads, they will have to really lead by example in maintaining their own discipline and that of their charges.  To be fair a task which both have excelled at.  However, in terms of the props England should have the edge here.  I feel that the combination of Mako Vunipola and Dan Cole simply offer more power and versatility than that of their Australian counterparts, Scott Sio and Greg Holmes.  In the second rows, England should win this battle hands down.  If Hartley can maintain his form at the throw in to the lineouts, English revelations George Kruis and Maro Itoje at lock should run rings around their Australian rivals Rob Simmons and Rory Arnold.  Kruis has had a spectacular year in the thick of everything for England and Maro Itoje is the most exciting player England has seen in many a year.  Itoje’s strength, speed and seemingly inexhaustible stamina are rapidly becoming the stuff of legends.  He is one of the few England players to consistently see out a full eighty minutes this year.  Expect fireworks aplenty from this English duo at Australia’s expense and with Courtney Lawes and Joe Launchbury waiting on the bench as their replacements, it is going to be a long afternoon in this department for Australia.  It’s in the back row where Australia are really going to make their presence felt and here they should start to gain some clear ascendancy over their English rivals.  English flankers Chris Robshaw and James Haskell are solid but lack the creativity and sheer pace of Australia’s Michael Hooper and Scott Fardy.  Fardy’s tireless work rate and Hooper’s sheer ability in the loose means that England are likely to be on the back foot here all afternoon.  Although England’s Billy Vunipola was often a one-man panzer division in the Six Nations he is going to be put to the test by the sheer creativity and vision of Australia’s number eight the incomparable David Pocock who is making a blistering return to form from injury.  England will be competitive here but this is Australia’s contest to win and really create a dominant platform for their backline.

In the halfbacks, there is an equal contest as England’s Owen Farrell and Ben Youngs square up against Australia’s Bernard Foley and Nick Phipps.  Each side boasts a loose canon, England in the shape of fly half Owen Farrell, whose discipline lets him down at times, while Australia’s Nick Phipps at scrum half is renowned for taking his eye off the ball under pressure and trying to attract the attention of the referee far too often at the expense of the run of play.  However, England’s Ben Youngs at scrum half and Australia’s fly half Bernard “Iceman” Foley will lend the composure to these two respective units that will be needed.  The replacements throw in another conundrum as Australia’s Nick Frisby gets his first call up in a Wallaby jersey at scrum half, while England’s George Ford who has had a dismal run of form this season will have to face up to a pressure appearance in the last quarter of a game that is likely to go down to the wire.  However, England should just get the edge as Danny Care comes off the bench for Ben Youngs.  Care has provided some much needed moments of magic for England at just the right time this year and expect to see him do the same in Brisbane on Saturday.

In the backs, I am once more putting my bet on England getting the slight edge.  Jonathan Joseph at centre and Anthony Watson on the wing have been outstanding for England and at club level this year and will be more than a match for Australia’s Rob Horne and new cap Dane Haylett-Petty.  I was surprised to see England’s Marland Yarde getting the starting berth on the wing over the exceptional Jack Nowell, but with the latter waiting on the bench to make an impact as required in the last quarter England should still be in safe hands here for much of the match.  I would argue that Australia has the more powerful centre combination in Tevita Kuridrani and Samu Kerevi, however, Joseph’s form for England speaks for itself and if Luther Burrell fires then the sheer pace and mobility of the England pair should give the Men in White the edge.  For Australia Kerevi is a wild card, when on form he raises eyebrows but at times he has been very easily shut down for the Reds in this year’s Super Rugby competition.  Lastly at fullback Australia have the mighty Israel Folau up against England’s impetuous Mike Brown.  In terms of all round ability and composure I give the nod to Folau, however, I can’t help feeling after having watched him play at centre this season for the Waratahs in Super Rugby that this is really where he should be playing if Australia really want to use his exceptional skills as it is clearly a position he relishes.  However, Australia are struggling with the fullback position and Folau is obviously their safest bet even if we may not see his full range of abilities at 15.

It is going to be an incredibly close contest, and will swing back and forth in terms of ascendancy for both sides.  However, I can’t help feeling that a confident England will just get the edge over an Australian team trying to find its feet and without some of the big names it has relied on in the past such as Adam Ashley-Cooper.  It will really be decided in the last quarter and with England packing the stronger bench for the most part it should be their day.  England are the more settled of the two sides and as such should just edge this opening encounter by two!

South Africa vs Ireland
Saturday, June 11th
Cape Town

This is probably the most intriguing encounter of the weekend.  South Africa field an essentially new team with a raft of new caps and a new Coach.  Ireland for the most part blend an interesting mix of experience and youth as they seek to rebuild from an exceptionally disappointing Six Nations and the horror of their quarter-final against Argentina in last year’s World Cup.  Looking at the form of some of the South African players that have been selected for this opening Test, there is no doubt that this is a very promising Springbok side which it is going to be exceptionally hard for Ireland to contain.  However, Irish Coach Joe Schmidt is one of the best prepared Coaches in Test rugby and he and his charges are unlikely to be daunted by the significant challenges they will face in Cape Town on Saturday.  Like most I do not see Ireland winning the series especially once this new look Springbok side starts gathering some momentum, but do feel they have a chance of sneaking one test, and this opener is their best shot at doing so.

South Africa as usual look to dominate Ireland up front and there is no question that they are likely to do so, and comfortably at that.  Ireland will have to work exceptionally hard to remain competitive here, as they will in the halfback contest, however if they can just hold their own up front then ultimately there could be an even battle in the backs.  Nevertheless, first and foremost the battle is going to have to be won up front and here Ireland are going to have their work cut out for them.  In the front row, it should be South Africa’s day.  As the two Captain’s face off in the Hooker position, South Africa should have the edge in Adriaan Strauss over Ireland’s Rory Best.  Although Best is an inspirational player to his charges, his form at the lineout can be erratic, while Strauss seems to be more consistent especially when throwing to the two giant figures of Eben Etzebeth and Lood de Jaeger.  With Strauss backed up by props Tendai Mtawarira and Frans Malherbe, it is likely that Ireland are going to get pushed around in the scrums despite the best efforts of Ireland’s Jack McGrath and Mike Ross.  Add to this the fact that the Springbok scrum is shored up in the second row by the massive physical and uncompromising forms of locks Eben Etzebeth and Lood de Jaeger and it really is no contest with these two likely to completely dominate the lineouts.  Ireland’s Ian Henderson is a rising star for the Men in Green and is likely to give as good as he gets but with his partner Devin Toner having erratic form at times, the lineout battle is likely to go the Springboks way.  Add South African revelation of 2016 Pieter-Steph du Toit waiting on the bench to replace either Etzebeth or de Jaeger and the battle is won for the Springboks.  In the back row the competition will be much more even.  Ireland’s CJ Stander will be keen to make a point in an Irish shirt as he returns to his homeland and was one of the standout players of a hit and miss Six Nations campaign for Ireland.  Jordi Murphy when he plays well is a feisty threat for Ireland and is likely to give South Africa’s Siya Kolisi a run for his money especially if he can pressure the Springbok flanker into making mistakes.  South Africa’s Francois Louw is an exceptional player but he too can suffer from inconsistency in form.  As a result, by the very narrowest of margins, I think that Ireland just might have the edge in the loose in Cape Town.  At number eight it is almost impossible to call.  South Africa’s Duane Vermeulen is without a doubt one of the best in the world in his position, but has not quite set the world alight at Toulon this season.  Jamie Heaslip is a vastly experienced player for Ireland and while he has not really stood out at Leinster this year he seems to produce something special whenever he pulls on an Irish jersey.

In the halfbacks, Paddy Jackson gets the nod at fly half as regular Irish maestro and game winner, Johnny Sexton misses the tour due to injury, while Conor Murray at scrum half lends some much needed experience and pace to the partnership.  However, South Africa are finally giving Lions sensation Faf de Klerk his first Springbok call-up at scrum half.  By far one of the most exciting players in this year’s Super Rugby, de Klerk is going to pose massive problems for Ireland.  If allowed any kind of space or opportunity he has the potential to ensure the Irish defences get ripped to shreds.  Meanwhile the calm head and vast experience of Pat Lambie at fly half even though he is a mere 25 years old, will make South Africa’s halfback platform a force to be reckoned with.  It’s going to be a fascinating contest but I can’t help feeling the experience of Lambie and the exceptional skill set of de Klerk will ultimately overwhelm their Irish counterparts.

It’s in the backs where Ireland perhaps has the best chance of making an impact if they get decent ball, but also manage to contain the electric centerfield pairing of South Africa’s Lionel Mapoe and Damian de Allende.  Ireland’s Robbie Henshaw is best prepared to do this as he brings some solid physicality and a blistering turn of speed to counter that of Mapoe and De Allende.  Ireland’s Luke Marshall is a gifted player and if given space could pose a lot of problems for the South African defence but his lack of experience at this level may ultimately prove a hindrance.  On the wings Irish Coach Joe Schmidt has gone with experience in the shape of Andrew Trimble and Keith Earls, and while the latter can certainly carve his own magic on a rugby pitch the Irish pair are more likely to be seen in defence as they attempt to shut down South Africa’s Lwazi Mvovo and JP Pietersen.  However, as talented as Mvovo is I have seen him drop the ball under pressure more than he’s held on to it and the Irish defence will be seeking to target this perceived weakness.  JP Pietersen may not be the fastest man out of the blocks for South Africa on the wing but his physical presence once he has built up a head of steam is very difficult to stop.  Lastly in the fullbacks, I am giving Ireland the advantage probably to the surprise of most readers.  There is no doubt that South Africa’s Willie le Roux is a fantastic player but I just haven’t seen the kind of form in the last eighteen months that made him the talking point of the 2014 season.  Jared Payne may not be the world’s most exciting player but he is growing in ability as a talented centre but more importantly as Ireland struggles with the fullback position, a very reliable and capable 15.  On the few occasions he has worn the 15 jersey for Ireland he has impressed particularly in defence.  As a result, I can’t help feeling that Ireland may have the edge over South Africa in this last line of defence and as a platform for initiating counter attacks.

It is going to be an interesting contest, which will either see Ireland implode by 40 minutes or hang in there and cause South Africa all kinds of problems as they seek to settle new combinations and develop their game plan.  Both sides are packing some potential threats on their benches. South Africa boast significant talent in the shape of lock Pieter-Steph du Toit, Number 8 and Lions sensation Warren Whiteley, fly half Elton Jantjies and centre Jesse Kriel.  Ireland meanwhile boast the likes of lock Ultan Dillane, centre Craig Gilroy and fly half Ian Madigan.  In terms of strengths the benches are relatively level, so it will come down to whether or not Ireland can simply contain a very physical and quick thinking Springbok side.  It should be a great contest and probably not the whitewash some are predicting.  However, in the end it should still be South Africa’s day by a comfortable margin.  We may be wrong but South Africa to win by 15 points!

Argentina vs Italy
Saturday, June 11th
Comodoro Rivadavia

Let’s face it life has not been kind to Italy since the World Cup, their two representative teams in the PRO 12 have struggled and Italy had a truly woeful Six Nations campaign under departing Coach Jacques Brunel.  Now there’s a new Coach in the form of Harlequins Coach Irishman Conor O’Shea and Italy is not without some promising young talent – they just need the right direction.  This match will be of particular interest to Canadian rugby fans as Italy will face Canada at the end of the month.  Argentina meanwhile have their first Test outing since the World Cup as they reunite under inspirational Coach Daniel Hourcade.  Argentina have fielded a team in this year’s Super Rugby tournament, and while the Jaguares have provided plenty of excitement they have been frustratingly short of results.  This will be of some concern to Coach Hourcade considering that Jaguares players form the bulk of the current Pumas squad.  Nevertheless, Hourcade proved himself to be one of the most successful coaches of last year’s World Cup and under his tutelage the Pumas are likely to have that special X factor that we saw so much of last year.  Consequently, this is going to be a very difficult outing for Italy, but hopefully it will provide them with the experience and confidence to take on their other slightly easier match ups with the USA and Canada this month.

Argentina will use their renowned strengths up front to make life difficult for the Italians and build the platform of possession needed to unleash their devastating back line.  Italy is capable of putting up a feisty scrum but its lack of experience will likely cause it to battle against Argentina’s established unit of Captain Agustin Creevy at Hooker and Prop Francisco Chaparro.  Meanwhile Argentina should dominate the lineouts through locks Guido Petti who has impressed all year in a Puma and Jaguares jersey alongside Matias Alemanno who has also stood out.  Italy boasts a powerful force in Marco Fuser but it is unlikely to match up against the Pumas strengths in this department.  Meanwhile the back row for Argentina boasts the superb Pablo Matera and has Javier Ortega Desio and Juan Manuel Leguizamon waiting on the bench.  In short, Italy will have to play out of their skins to overcome this Argentinian powerhouse back row.  Simone Favaro had a good outing in the Six Nations for Italy in the flanker department but he and his colleagues are likely to be overwhelmed by Argentina on Saturday.  Argentina will be shored up in the forwards by Facundo Isa at number eight and once again he is a rising talent for the Pumas.  Overall, Argentina has such a strong forward platform that it is going to be an uphill battle all afternoon for Italy to gain any kind of ascendancy.

Italy has a promising halfback partnership in scrum half Eduardo Gori and fly half Carlo Canna, both of whom will be cornerstones of Italy’s future in the build up to the World Cup in Japan in 2019.  However, their relative lack of Test experience will mean they will be up against it in their duel with one of Test rugby’s most exciting halfback partnerships in the shape of fly half Nicolas Sanchez and scrum half Martin Landajo.  In short, there is likely to be little contest here and Argentina should comfortably be able to dictate play all afternoon.

Italy has some outstanding backs in the shape of centre Michele Campagnaro and wingers Leonardo Sarto and David Odiete, however they are simply not of the calibre of the Argentine offering.  Wingers Manuel Montero and Santiago Cordero in particular are very exciting players that can light up a pitch given the right opportunities.  Meanwhile the centre pairing of Juan Martin Hernandez and Matias Moroni are quality through and through.  They don’t call Hernandez the magician for nothing.  Italy will be competitive all afternoon but ultimately be outclassed by Argentina’s superior pedigree.  Lastly at fullback Argentina’s Joaquin Tuculet is in a league of his own compared to Italy’s Luke McLean.  Expect once again Italy to compete but Tuculet is superb in defense and explosive on attack which means that once again Italy are going to have dig very deep to contain him.

An interesting contest and hopefully one in which Italy can learn some valuable lessons and acquit themselves with some degree of pride, but one which Argentina should walk away with comfortably.  A spirited Italy should put up a good fight under the demanding tutelage of new Coach Conor O’Shea but the Pumas to ultimately walk away with the spoils by 20 points!

Canada vs Japan
Saturday, June 11th
Vancouver

Canada take to the field with a new Coach, Mark Anscombe after acquitting themselves well in the recent inaugural Americas Rugby Championship in March under interim Coach Francois Ratier.  Many of the players who fared so well in March return to face Japan in Vancouver this Saturday.  This should be a highly competitive match as Canada face up against a Japanese team that draws almost exclusively from the Japanese Super Rugby franchise the Sunwolves.  As Canada’s first outing under Anscombe it may be a tall order for them to defeat a Japanese side whose players are coming straight from three month’s experience of the World’s toughest and most demanding club rugby competition.  Although some of the names who made such an impact for Japan in the World Cup are missing from the squad it is still a strong Japanese team who will have a benefit from the cohesion of their Super Rugby exploits.

One to watch in a match which Canada has the potential to win, especially at home, will be prop Djustice Sears-Duru who is making a name for himself with Glasgow Warriors.  Meanwhile warhorse Ray Barkwill should ensure that Canada is competitive in the scrums and the lineouts as the Canadian Hooker was one of Canada’s most reliable players last year in both the Pacific Nations and World Cups.  Canada will miss the inspirational figure of Hubert Buydens in the front row, but probably one of Canada’s most notable players, lock Jamie Cudmore will be instrumental in motivating Canada’s younger charges in this match.  At 37 years of age there still seems to be plenty of life left in this Canadian tiger and he remains committed to leaving a lasting impact on Canadian rugby.  One player who really stood out in the recent Americas Rugby Championship was flanker Lucas Rumball and I was very happy to see him included in Canada’s starting line up for this match.  Flanker Aaron Carpenter needs no introduction along with scrum half Gordon McRorie.

In the backs there is plenty to be excited about for Canada with a welcome return to the fray for Taylor Paris on the wing.  Nick Blevins should provide a superb example to his young cohort Brock Staller in centre field, while Matt Evans has put in some notable shifts at fullback.  Canada may struggle at fly half as they have yet to find a clear answer for this position and it is likely that much of the tactical and goal kicking duties may fall to veteran scrum half Gordon McRorie.  On the bench I am really looking forward to seeing lock Paul Ciulini make an appearance as he was another of Canada’s players who really stood out during the Americas Rugby Championship.

This should be a close and highly entertaining match, which should be an excellent preparation for Canada’s ultimate test against Italy at the end of the month.  Canada should be highly competitive for the full eighty minutes, but ultimately I can’t help feeling that the match will go in favour of the Japanese simply on the grounds of their recent experiences as a squad in the cauldron of Super Rugby.  The Japanese have for the most part been playing as a unit for the last three months in one of the toughest competitions in the world.  As a result, their understanding of each other and how to get the best out of any given situation should give them a clear edge over the Canadians who are only getting together for the first time competitively after a two-month break.  Furthermore, the Canadian squad that had such success in the Americas Rugby Championship is not quite the same as that which runs out in Vancouver this Saturday.  Therefore, expect no quarters given but Japan to just walk away the winners by five points!

The Lineout wholeheartedly shifts its attention to Super Rugby as the competition heats up in Round 11!

With the prospect of some exciting summer tours by Ireland, England and Wales rapidly approaching, we turn our attention to the Southern Hemisphere’s premier club rugby competition, Super Rugby, to get an idea of who we may be looking at come June.  This year’s Super Rugby has been enlarged by three teams, one each from Argentina, Japan and South Africa.  So far this season New Zealand teams have been the dominant force and we start our look at this outstanding competition with an examination New Zealand’s top three teams who were all in action this past weekend, the Crusaders, Chiefs and Highlanders.  The Crusaders who are rapidly gaining in momentum after a slightly shaky start to their campaign would dominate the Reds in Christchurch, while last year’s Champions the Highlanders took on the best team of the competition so far this year the Chiefs in Waikato in a thrilling encounter which showed the Champions at their best.  Despite the vagaries of the conference system for this year’s Championship if these three New Zealand teams keep up their current standards then the possibility of an All New Zealand final looks to be an increasing reality.

Crusaders vs Reds
Final Score – Crusaders 38/Reds 5
Christchurch

The Crusaders after a slightly slow start to their Super Rugby campaign are going from strength to strength as the competition gains momentum.  This was a masterclass performance from a team on the rise, despite the clear inferiority of the opposition offered up by a weak Reds team.  After a disappointing season last year, the Crusaders seem to be back to their winning ways and clearly enjoying the process.

The Crusaders came storming out of the blocks in the first eight minutes to score two tries, both through Fijian winger Jone Macilai and ably assisted by fullback Israel Dagg on both occasions whose return to form after a long spell of injury seems to be complete.  Both players must surely be on All Black Coach Steve Hansen’s radar, especially Macilai as he is soon likely to be eligible to play for New Zealand.  Despite a porous Reds defence at key moments, the surprising factor was that despite this the Australian outfit had the lion’s share of possession in the first half but struggled to make any of it count in their favour unlike their opponents who used what little possession they got to devastating effect.  Just before half time the Crusaders would strike again through lock Scott Barrett, but it was that man Macilai who was in the thick of things who provided the offload to get Barrett across.

Licking their wounds, the Reds clearly went to the dressing room trying to understand how so much possession had produced so little reward as they trailed 21-0.  Their fortunes would improve little in the second half as Macilai would strike again shortly after play got underway and get his well earned hat-trick of tries for the Crusaders and put them in a seemingly insurmountable lead at 26-0 after a mere 42 minutes.  Two minutes later however, the Reds did produce their one piece of magic for the evening after a brilliant chip kick from fly half Jake MacIntyre put centre Campbell Magnay into space and off to a glorious 50 metre run leaving the Crusaders defence in the dust.  The Reds were unable to get the extra two points after the Crusaders startled kicker Jake MacIntyre by charging down the conversion attempt but it served to galvanize the Australian team back into action.

The Crusaders had suffered from lapses in discipline throughout the match capped off by Captain and number Eight Kieran Read’s yellow card just shy of the hour mark for pulling down a Reds maul.  Despite this however the Reds were still unable to turn pressure into points.  The Crusaders knew that a bonus point was vital if they were to turn their shaky start to the season around and as a result they were slowly able to put the screws on an increasingly fatigued Reds team despite being a man down.  With fifteen minutes to go.  Crusaders hooker Codie Taylor would put flanker Jordan Tafua into space with a well timed dummy which fooled the opposition and the big loose forward would go on his own tearing 50 meter run down the right wing to seal the match for the men from Christchurch.  Taylor himself would score shortly before the final whistle to seal an emphatic win for the Crusaders.

Despite some solid possession from the Reds it had been all about the New Zealanders as they ran in 6 tries to one.  The Reds made too many errors particularly in terms of handling and their defence was simply too porous at key moments in the game.  Add to that a superior level of fitness and team cohesion from the Crusaders and it was clear that the New Zealanders have found their rhythm again.  The Crusaders have been one of the most successful teams in Super Rugby history and after a brief period in the wilderness of the competition they look set to make a dramatic return to the competition’s loftiest heights while giving New Zealand selectors plenty of food for thought as they consider the All Blacks opening salvoes of 2016 against Wales in June.

Chiefs vs Highlanders
Final Score – Chiefs 13/Highlanders 26
Waikato

The two best teams in the competition put on a thrilling spectacle that showcased the exceptional skill levels on display in this tournament and why New Zealand teams are still the benchmark outfits in the competition.  There is more than just a possibility that we may be seeing these two sides going head to head against each other in the final at the beginning of August.  Meanwhile the pedigree in these two squads leaves All Black selectors spoilt for choice as Coach Steve Hansen and his team look to assemble yet another all conquering New Zealand side after the heroics of the World Cup last year.  Having said that however, this was not a vintage showing from the Chiefs and the Highlanders were the sharper team on the night forcing the Chiefs into a series of errors that we are simply not used to seeing from them.  The standout player of the night was winger and All Black Waisake Naholo who made a spectacular return from injury for the Highlanders and was a constant threat all night.

Billed as the match to watch this weekend, a packed Waikato stadium settled in for an eagerly anticipated 80 minutes.  It was Chiefs fly half Aaron Cruden who would get the home side in the lead after the first five minutes with a well taken penalty, but an uncharacteristic lack of discipline from the Chiefs would see the Highlanders return the favour twice and take the lead to 6-3 for the men from Dunedin.  The Chiefs were clearly the team getting more of the possession in the first quarter but a raft of handling errors would see them fluff out some key opportunities to string a solid attacking platform together.  Chiefs fullback Damian McKenzie who has been the revelation of this year’s competition had by his standards a very poor evening.  As skilled as he is, I couldn’t help but get the feeling that in this match he was trying to be a tad over ambitious and as a result left the rest of his team struggling to catch up with him at times.  There is no denying McKenzie’s abilities, but against a very composed and structured Highlanders team he often tried to do too much without a sense of where the rest of his teammates were on the pitch.  A sobering adjustment to the demands of the top levels of this competition, and one which McKenzie is likely to adapt to very quickly in his next outing for the Chiefs.

An incredible passage of play from the Highlanders on the half hour mark which would see them pass the ball from one side of the field to the other and then back again through multiple phases, would result in the first try of the evening.  On a few occasions the passing was so ambitious you felt that an intercept was clearly on the cards for the Chiefs, but they just didn’t seem to have the foresight needed to get the better of the Highlanders’ adventurous play.  Highlanders’ hooker Daniel Lienert-Brown would seize a scrappy loose ball and charge through a gaping hole in a scrambling Chiefs defence.  The Highlanders were now seemingly in control at 13-3.  Controversy would then follow on the stroke of half time as a bizarre collision between Highlanders lock Elliot Dixon and Chiefs centre Charlie Ngatai, would see Ngatai receive a yellow card for a dangerous tackle.  Repeated video replays clearly showed Dixon leaping over Ngatai as opposed to being tackled by him and falling awkwardly.  It was an unfortunate accident and there was no clear evidence of foul play, but Ngatai was still the unlucky recipient of a yellow card.

The Chiefs would start the second half a man down.  Immediate pressure from the Highlanders would give a clear demonstration of just how tightly knit and organised this team is as a whole would as winger Waisake Naholo bagged his second try in the corner for the Highlanders.  The Chiefs would strike back through a brilliant example of open running rugby down the left wing and a series of sublime offloads would put fly half Aaron Cruden over in the corner.  It was now 18-8 for the Highlanders with half an hour to go.  Naholo would strike again for the Highlanders as the game entered the final quarter.  He had been outstanding all night and not just in scoring tries.  His work at the breakdown was extraordinary.  Blisteringly fast with ball in hand but also just as effective as a loose forward in the breakdowns, expect to see this player wearing an All Black jersey for much of 2016 – as versatile is an understatement of the highest order when describing Naholo’s abilities.

Sam Vaka would score the only other try of the night for the Chiefs as the home side would restore some respectability to the score line as proceedings would wrap up with the Highlanders getting a resounding 26-13 victory.  The match had lived up to its billing even if the Chiefs were not quite at their best while the defending Champions the Highlanders appeared to be in a league of their own even away from home against the second best team in the competition.  I would not be surprised to see these two teams battling it out in the final as this dip in form from the Chiefs is most likely just a blip on the radar.  However, there is so much talent in these two teams that All Black selectors could simply select their squad from the 46 players who ran out onto the pitch in Waikato and feel confident that they had a side that could match any of the world’s best.  Add to that mix players from the Crusaders along with the rapidly improving Hurricanes and New Zealand looks very much like once again they will be the team to beat in 2016!  If the rest of the world hasn’t started watching Super Rugby yet, then now is the time to start if they want to have an idea of the exceptionally daunting task they are going to be up against over the next four years till the World Cup in Japan in 2019.

The Lineout gets a glimpse at the challenges facing the future of rugby in South Africa

I had the great fortune of getting a fascinating look at the trials and tribulations of South African rugby post the World Cup and the start of a new coaching regime for the Springboks.  On a recent holiday visiting my wife’s family in South Africa, I had the privilege of attending an excellent school match between Grey and Brandwag High Schools played in Port Elizabeth, followed by the luxury of a company box to watch the Southern Kings face up against the Lions at Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium in Port Elizabeth.  The Kings may be the worst team in Super Rugby at the moment, while the Lions are arguably one of the best, if not the best South African side in the competition, making it a fairly one-sided contest which nevertheless highlighted the myriad issues facing the future development of rugby in one of its greatest heartlands.  There is little doubt that South Africa is still a hotbed of rugby talent and will continue to be so for many years if not generations to come, the issue is more about the management of the game and player development especially once players leave the vibrant and dynamic school scene.  What I saw on the playing fields at Grey High School on a sunny Saturday afternoon in Port Elizabeth in terms of support and organization would be the envy of many school setups around the world, especially in Canada.

My rugby Saturday in Port Elizabeth started off at Grey High School, where I was able to watch a schools’ match between the first XVs of Grey from Port Elizabeth and Brandwag from Uitenhage.  The stands were packed with family, friends and schoolchildren and a festive and spirited atmosphere prevailed.  The enthusiasm of the spectators both young and old was infectious and clearly inspired the players from both teams.  The first half saw a very talented Grey side run in an unanswered 40 points.  Clearly the better side, Grey’s execution and passing skills would be the envy of many a senior men’s’ squad.  In terms of an entertaining rugby spectacle it was hard to beat and a glorious demonstration of free flowing attacking rugby.

The second half saw Brandwag make a spirited comeback and mount a relentless assault on the Grey defences which held admirably.  Very much a game of two halves, Grey’s significant attacking skills in the first half were transformed into a solid defensive effort in the second.  Brandwag’s efforts had to be commended as they dominated possession in the second half and certainly did not appear to be daunted by the imposing 40-point deficit they found themselves facing at the start of the second half.  However, their execution in attack simply did not have the finesse of their Grey counterparts.  Grey were able to hold their composure in defence and were clearly the more complete of the two teams, but then let’s face it they are ranked ninth in the current South African schools table.  Brandwag were able to bag two solid tries to make the score line slightly more respectable at 45-12 for Grey by the time of the final whistle, and their never say die attitude was outstanding for the full eighty minutes.

After the match I had the opportunity to spend some time in the Grey clubhouse speaking to the coaching staff.  They highlighted the challenges facing rugby in South Africa as a result of political pressures to transform the senior game in the country, particularly in terms of making it more representative.  At the school level many successes have been made in this department and certainly in terms of the composition of the teams I saw there was a healthy representation of black and white players.  In the past many accusations have been levelled that there is a danger of tokenism in terms of having black players make up the numbers.  From what I saw at the schools’ levels, such accusations would appear to have little if any credibility.  Grey’s black players were often the stars of the match and displayed some exceptional rugby prowess.  On speaking to the coaches, the problem seems to be more at the senior levels.  Once such players leave school many of them are not automatically snapped up by senior professional teams or their academies.  Naturally they lose interest in the game and without the financial or peer support at home such talent is then lost to South African rugby.  The few who do make it to the senior levels have bright futures but the coaching and management structures in South African senior rugby are currently not set up to develop such players effectively.

On top of this there is the problem that once you get to the senior levels the increasing political pressure for transformation in South African rugby is starting to get in the way of the natural development of a strong and diversified player base.  The coaches I spoke to rolled their eyes as they outlined rules likely to come into effect where at levels such as Super Rugby and more critically for the Springboks, the color make up of a South African side on the field at any given time has to have a certain numerical balance.  In essence coaches will soon have to sit with their calculators at the ready rather than the game plans and strategy notes worked out in practice.  It will be less a question of are the right players on the field as opposed to are the percentages right in terms of color composition?  In the critical last quarter of a match it begs the question as to how on earth coaches are to use their bench in terms of impact substitutions.  As the debates have raged on this issue there is little doubt that the overall effect of this will be to demoralise black players as the issue of merit in a squad will always be brought into question, along with the fact that it will be difficult for South African teams to field their strongest sides.  This problem will be particularly prevalent for South African teams in Super Rugby, as they try to manage the rigors of travel and injury over a long season.

This issue was brought to light in my next outing in Port Elizabeth that Saturday afternoon as I enjoyed corporate hospitality courtesy of my father in law’s son at the Nelson Bay Mandela Stadium to watch home side the Southern Kings take on Johannesburg’s Lions in Round 9 of this year’s Super Rugby competition.  The Lions have arguably been the most exciting of the South African teams in this year’s Super Rugby competition as they were for much of last season.  Playing an open and expansive game, they perhaps more than any other South African side have embraced the type of playing style that has brought New Zealand teams so much success in this competition.  The Southern Kings on the other hand are arguably the worst team in the competition let alone South Africa, and their inclusion in this year’s tournament appears to have been a case of making up the numbers after the tournament was expanded to include a Japanese and Argentinian franchise.

After last year’s tournament the Lions were boasting some all star names in the shape of scrum half Faf de Klerk, Captain and number eight Warren Whiteley, fly half Elton Jantjies, flanker Jaco Kriel and for me one of the standout players of last year, winger Ruan Combrinck.  Add to this in my opinion the best coach in South Africa for the last two years in the shape of Johan Ackermann and you are looking at a world class unit.  The Southern Kings on the other hand boast plenty of enthusiasm but a player base that has few if any familiar names in it.  However, to give the home side full credit they never looked like a team who felt that in reality they were completely outclassed by superior opposition.  I, like many fully expected the score line to be a runaway for the Lions after only the first quarter but was surprised to see it only 21-5 for the visitors at half time.  There was plenty of heart and courage on display by the home side despite relentless pressure from the Lions.  The Kings would even go and score a well worked try of their own in the first half.

However, as the match wore on execution, superior fitness and organisation would see the Lions suffocate a valiant but ultimately poor Southern Kings side.  The home team’s defence fell apart in the second half along with their discipline which had already shown significant cracks resulting in a yellow card in the first half.  The Lions would go on to score seven superb tries with all star winger Ruan Combrinck scoring two of them.  Despite a fairly shambolic second half the home side did restore some pride by the end of the third quarter by bagging a second well worked try.  However, there were two different teams on the pitch for much of the second half, with the Lions clearly in a league of their own against a courageous but often inept opposition.

As we left the Stadium I couldn’t help but wonder of the Lions team, how many of their outstanding key players will get a shot at a Springbok call up as the national side start their annual campaign against a visiting Irish side in a month’s time.  Given the pressure for transformation and the appointment of a new coach, it remains to be seen how objective South African selectors will really able to be this year.  Many have argued that Lions Captain Warren Whiteley should get the Captain’s role but given the political pressure facing the selectors this is probably highly unlikely.  Furthermore, how much of a chance will players like Ruan Combrinck, Faf de Klerk and Jaco Kriel get to be a part of the Springbok plans this year despite their obvious talent, given the pressure new Coach Alastair Coetzee will face to get his squad to represent the political demands being placed on the make up of this and future Springbok squads?  If South African sides simply become a question of numbers and less of talent, then the future of South African rugby is likely to enter a stormy period.  The end result of which will be a player drain as talented players who see no future in South Africa head overseas to ply their talents and ultimately play for their adopted countries.  South Africans may get a costly demonstration of that come June as the Springboks face up against one of Europe’s best players this season in the shape of South African CJ Stander as he tours his homeland wearing an Irish shirt.

Like many I understand the need for transformation in South African sport and particularly in rugby, however, I would be saddened if it was done at the expense of producing a successful Springbok side.  South Africans are passionate about their rugby and this starts as I saw at the grassroots level on school pitches around the country.  The country boasts a phenomenal talent base in players that represent the full color spectrum of South African society, and that at the schools’ level is as representative as it could possibly be.  It would be a shame if one of international rugby’s greatest heartlands was to lose its rightful place at the top table of Test rugby simply because of poorly managed and misguided political interference.  South Africa has the potential to continue to be a rugby powerhouse and it’s our hope at the Lineout that it will be allowed to do so and that a very fragile and sensitive process can be handled in the best interests of players and supporters.  As I witnessed on my Saturday afternoon in Port Elizabeth, South African supporters are some of the most passionate and generous our sport has to offer and I hope that they will be able to continue to celebrate the success of their teams on the global stage for many years to come.  The next few years will probably be the most challenging South African rugby has ever faced and for the sake of this proud rugby nation we will all be crossing our fingers that they get it right!

The Lineout takes a break for April but we’ll be back in May!

Yes you read it correctly we’re taking a month off in April, as travel and family responsibilities call.  I have the fortune to be travelling to South Africa for two weeks this month and hope to get caught up in some of the enthusiasm and excitement surrounding this year’s Super Rugby tournament.  It’s already been a cracking competition and I look forward to covering the business end of it on my return at the end of the month. We’ll also be preparing for the next round of International Test Rugby as the Northern Hemisphere sides get ready to go on tour South of the Equator in June.  As we look ahead to what’s on offer in the coming months there is a lot to look forward to as well as plenty of food for thought in relation to the year so far.

Europe

February and March were of course dominated by the Six Nations.  England had it all to prove with their new Coach Eddie Jones, and they accounted themselves admirably winning the Grand Slam.  The tournament as a whole, as it often does post a World Cup, rarely came to light however and we can only hope for a return to the kind of excitement that we saw in the 2015 edition.  This year England were clearly the best side by a country mile and while not perfect have come a long way since the agony of the World Cup.  England are clearly the dominant Northern Hemisphere side but the ultimate test of how far they’ve come will be seen in June when they face Australia three times.  Wales were worthy runners up and showed us how devastating they can be when given space and allowed to run free.  Their play is often stifled at times by the current game plan preferred by Welsh Coach Warren Gatland.  It may be effective but it kills creativity and makes Wales a tad predictable.  If they play like they did in the last ten minutes against England, then they can pose a challenge to New Zealand, but the sheer skill level we have seen already in Super Rugby by New Zealand sides means that it is likely to be a very painful and potentially depressing month for the Men in Red in the Land of the Long White Cloud. Scotland thrilled us throughout the tournament but execution and decision making at key times still seemed to be their Achilles Heel.  However, the signs of progress were there to be seen in leaps and bounds as they were the most exciting team to watch without any shadow of a doubt.  Ireland and France were clearly rebuilding and there were plenty of reasons for optimism in the Irish camp as a raft of new players acquitted themselves well in their first outings in an Irish shirt.  Indeed it was Ireland’s newcomers who stole the show in most of Ireland’s performances and South Africa must surely be awaiting their visit in June with more than a little anxiety.  France showed signs of a willingness to return to the glory days of being the team with the most flair and panache in attack, and offloaded the ball more than perhaps any other team.  However, inconsistency in selection, not helped by a crippling domestic structure, meant that France rarely were able to string together a unified team.  Nevertheless life under new Coach Guy Noves seems a happier prospect for France and they seem to have regained some of their enthusiasm and motivation, and we can only hope that what we saw was the first stages in the rebirth of one of the great rugby powerhouses.  Last but not least Italy imploded and by the end of the tournament their place in the tournament at the expense of an up and coming performer such as Georgia was once more put under scrutiny.

Meanwhile this year’s European Champions Cup has been dominated by English and French clubs and as we head into the semi-final stages only one French team remains, making the possibility of an all England final an almost foregone conclusion.  England’s success at the International level in Europe looks set to continue at the club level.

Southern Hemisphere

Yes Super Rugby is upon us once more for four glorious months and this year’s expanded competition which now includes a team from Japan and Argentina, as well as all the usual suspects from Australia, New Zealand and South Africa, is without doubt the premier club competition in World Rugby.  New Zealand sides so far have been outstanding, and they have set the benchmark for the competition.  Australian sides have struggled to fire at times which surely must make England Coach Eddie Jones breathe a bit easier as he prepares England for a month long tour there in June.  However, Australian Coach Michael Cheika is one of the world’s best and despite the stuttering nature at times of Australian Super Rugby sides, he will still be able to weld together an incredibly talented and dangerous unit.  South African sides with the possible exception of the Lions have yet to really hit their paces and show us what they are capable of.  As politics threaten to get in the way of the natural development of a quality South African side, Ireland must surely feel that their chances of at least one if not two wins in June are a distinct possibility.  Argentina’s team the Jaguares have been mesmerizing to watch despite the fact that they seem to be rather lean on results.  Exceptionally competitive and possessing some great attacking skills and an almost superhuman defense, the Jaguares have shown that they thoroughly deserve their place in the world’s greatest club competition.  Lastly the Sunwolves from Japan, are struggling to make an impact despite some promising efforts at times, but unlike Argentina, Japanese teams still have a long way to go before they are likely to be a major threat in this tournament.  Given the extraordinary skill levels already on display in this year’s Super Rugby tournament, the Rugby Championship later this summer between Argentina, Australia, New Zealand and South Africa should be absolutely enthralling.

Canada

Canada have got 2016 off to a great start.  Their performance in the inaugral Americas Rugby Championship could not have been better.  Argentina were always going to take the spoils but for Canada to finish second especially with an interim Coach, Francois Ratier, in charge is an exceptional achievement.  Ratier as we always knew he would, based on his successes with the womens’ team, did a fantastic job of putting together a solid squad of talented youngsters matched up alongside a core of seasoned and experienced campaigners.  As new permanent Coach Mark Anscombe, who comes off the back of two solid years with successful Irish club side Ulster, takes over he must surely feel positive about the groundwork that has been laid in building a cohesive national squad.  The fact that there has been a separation of duty from the Sevens and Fifteen a side game, is a huge bonus to the development of the sport in Canada, and is clearly paying dividends in a mere three months of implementation.  I personally feel that this year’s edition of the Pacific Nations Cup could be one of Canada’s most successful and a strong showing against Italy and Japan in June is also probably on the cards.  Lastly with Anscombe’s knowledge of Ireland based on his Ulster experience, Canada should be able to put in a good effort when they visit the Emerald Isle in November.

So lots to look back on and even more to look forward to.  As we sign off for a couple of weeks we’ll leave you with this glorious tribute to the World Cup that took place last September/October in England, courtesy of the Promo Guys on YouTube, and which many of us were lucky enough to be at.  From a Canadian perspective, nice to see two fine tries by our boys feature in this, especially the incomparable DTH van der Merwe.  Enjoy and see you all again at the end of the month!

England take the Six Nations and Grand Slam in a tournament that rarely caught the imagination but gave us lots to think about for the future!

After the nightmare of the World Cup England emerged triumphant in a Six Nations that rarely caught the imagination.  Even though all the sides were undergoing transformations of some sort since the events of last September/October, it would appear that England have made the most progress.  While few of us here were expecting any side to take the Grand Slam, England surprised us and did just that.  While England may not have been the most exciting team in the tournament, they certainly looked the most polished with a clear sense of purpose and direction.  The other teams had moments of brilliance, especially the three Celtic nations but inconsistencies and poor execution at times let them down at various stages of their campaigns.  Meanwhile France showed some promise as they started a new life under Coach Guy Noves despite a domestic structure that is clearly crippling the national side.  Lastly, Italy as expected took the Wooden Spoon as they prepared to say goodbye to Coach Jacques Brunel and sadly got progressively worse as their campaign wore on leaving many people once more questioning their place in the tournament.

Wales vs Italy
Final Score – Wales 67/Italy 14
Cardiff

As exhilarating as it was to watch Wales in full flight, in the grand scheme of things Wales were already assured of second place and Italy the Wooden Spoon before the match had even begun.  Italy looked demoralised for much of the match whilst the Welsh just looked angry and with a point to prove after their loss to England the previous weekend which ended their title hopes.  Yes, Wales ran in nine tries just as Ireland had done the week before against Italy but it seemed a hollow victory against a side who were more spectators than participants.

The Jonathan Davies try against Wales below is a perfect summary of the match.  Italian defences which were for all intents and purposes nonexistent for the last sixty minutes of this encounter, allowed Wales to run Italy ragged for the last three quarters.  There was simply no need for the physical approach preferred by Welsh Coach Warren Gatland and which has often stifled Wales’ creative talents out wide.  Wales were allowed to run free all afternoon with Italy offering very little in the way of an obstruction.

The first half was a torrid affair for the Italians and was not helped by continuing injury problems causing winger Mattia Bellini and center Andrea Pratichetti to leave the field.  Italy occasionally showed some brave defence but it was rarely enough to contain a rampant Welsh team.  Welsh scrum half Rhys Webb, who so cruelly missed the World Cup, made a brilliant return to a Welsh shirt and showed that despite a strong performance by Gareth Davies in his absence the competition for the scrum half berth in Wales will be keenly contested over the coming months.  Webb would open the scoring for Wales despite there being clear evidence of Welsh players being offside from a kick from fly half Dan Biggar.  While it certainly may have made the Italians feel that refereeing decisions were perhaps going to go against them, it still would not have changed the nature of the significant thrashing the Azurri would ultimately get over the next seventy minutes.  Wales would steadily ramp up the pressure on Italy causing their defensive structures to disintegrate and with it their discipline.  Dan Biggar would make sure that his boot would keep the scoreboard ticking over while continuing to keep Italy under pressure.  Despite some poor execution at times from Wales in the opening twenty minutes they were still the more composed and better organised team.

Dan Biggar would get Wales’ next try followed soon after by centre Jonathan Davies as mentioned above who would score one of the best tries of the tournament.  Italy were clearly out of ideas and inspiration, even the legendary Sergio Parisse seemed at his wits end.  With Wales in a commanding lead at 27-0 as referee Romain Poite blew for half time, you felt it was only going to get worse for Italy as there had been little on display to think otherwise.  Italy looked crestfallen while Wales looked like they were thoroughly enjoying themselves.

It would be George North’s turn to be the linchpin of Welsh play as the second half got underway.  A superb offload by the winger would set up centre Jamie Roberts for Wales early in the second half.  Soon afterwards the Welsh winger would emulate Jonathan Davies efforts in the first half as he sliced huge holes through the Italian defence to score Wales’ fifth try.  This seemed to galvanize Italy into action at long last and some positive pressure from them in the Welsh 22 would see scrum half Guglielmo Palazzani profit from a solid Italian rolling maul and get Italy’s first five pointer.  The change in fortunes was short lived however, as Welsh fullback Liam Williams would get Wales’ sixth try.

Italy would make one more spirited attack in a brief interlude of positive play from the Azurri, and centre Gonzalo Garcia who has been one of the few shining lights in Italy’s Six Nations campaign would get Italy’s only other try.  From then on till the final whistle Wales simply took the game by the scruff of the neck and it was all about the Men in Red.  Flanker Ross Moriarty who replaced the injured Justin Tipuric would go on to score two more tries for Wales as Italy for all intents and purposes simply ran out of gas and gave up.  Scrum half Gareth Davies would end the match with Wales ninth try and a reaffirmation that, despite a fine return to the Welsh shirt by his rival Rhys Webb, he is still a force to be reckoned with in the number nine jersey.

While there was plenty of excitement in this match from a Welsh perspective it was ultimately a very one-sided contest.  Wales were in a league of their own while Italy failed to make any statement whatsoever.  Although it was an impressive comeback by Wales after the debacle at Twickenham the week before, against such inferior opposition it was hard to say what it really means in terms of where Wales find themselves after this Six Nations and with the prospect of an extremely challenging tour of New Zealand awaiting them in June.  Against better opposition Wales seem to revert to type and the adventurism we saw, albeit too late against England, and clearly on display against Italy gives way to a more conservative physical approach seemingly favoured by Coach Warren Gatland.  While Wales may be sound defensively which will stand them in good stead in New Zealand they will need to have the attacking confidence they showed in the last ten minutes of the England game and in this match if they are to make any kind of an impression against the All Blacks.  When given freedom Wales suddenly look very exciting but they seem reluctant to use their obvious attacking potential especially in space and out wide.  Wales are without doubt a good team and one, as we saw in the World Cup, who can hold their own against the Southern Hemisphere sides when they are allowed to be creative.  However, without this creativity they look exceptionally predictable and one dimensional, two traits that New Zealand will exploit to the full resulting in a potentially painful four weeks for Wales this June.  A New Zealand squad fresh off the rounds of Super Rugby will be an exceptionally difficult proposition for a Welsh side at the end of a very long domestic and international season.  Creativity will be the key, but under pressure Wales may be effective but not imaginative enough to ultimately get results – we wait and see.

As for Italy, it is back to the drawing board for them as Coach Jacques Brunel leaves and Conor O’Shea takes over.  Italy need to build on some of the skills of their younger players who showed some promise in this Six Nations, and learn to rely less on Sergio Parisse to constantly bale them out of trouble or create that initial go forward spark.  It is hoped they can tighten up their execution and decision making under a new coaching regime and play as a more cohesive unit.  The next few years will see Italy under the microscope of International Test Rugby as calls for other European emerging nations such as Georgia and Romania to take their place in the Six Nations will grow.  Italy desperately needs to show some real progress as the results since their inclusion in the Six Nations in 2000 are few and far between.  I still think it is early days to perhaps talk of relegation even though post the World Cup I did put forward the idea of such a system in the Six Nations.  However, if Italy holds onto the Wooden Spoon again next year then I can’t see how they can argue against it.  As a result, the pressure on them is enormous but hopefully it will be a positive catalyst for change and improvement.  Italy clearly has talent of that there is little doubt, but they need a structure and the support to help them realise this potential.  It won’t be easy but I still think they have a core of younger players who have shown the hunger and the basic skills needed to help get them there in the future.  There have been some promising developments in the management structure of Italian rugby in the last few weeks, and it is hoped that the foundations needed to finally get Italy living up to its potential are slowly starting to be put in place.

Ireland vs Scotland
Final Score – Ireland 35/Scotland 25
Dublin

Ireland may have won the game but once again it was Scottish fullback Stuart Hogg who stole the show.  This game lived up to the hype surrounding it as both sides played with ambition and flair.  Ultimately though, Ireland’s better organisation and execution would see them come out on top.  Scotland challenged to the end, but once again we saw some of the basic errors creeping back into their game that have haunted them at crucial times in the last year.  Scotland have made enormous progress under Coach Vern Cotter in the last twelve months and are without a doubt one of the most exciting sides to watch in the Northern Hemisphere.  However, it is a lingering lack of finesse that seems to get the better of them in big games such as this one.  Ireland may not have been as exciting to watch in open play, but everything they did was just slightly more clinical than the Scots.  The match provided plenty of thrills and spills but Ireland clearly pulled away in the last quarter and took charge.  Scotland have had a fabulous Six Nations and scored some spectacular tries, but have sadly just not found that consistency yet in the basics.  They are clearly better at the end of this tournament than when they started and the progress has been there for all to see but there is still a way to go before they can really take the bigger teams to task on a regular basis.

Ireland were clearly the better organised team in attack and defence in the first half and Irish fly half Jonathan Sexton’s boot would keep the Scots in check as Ireland led 6-0.  However, some sterling Scottish defence was effectively blunting the Irish attack and keeping the Men in Green at bay.  Scottish scrum half Greg Laidlaw would see the Scots get on the board with a finely taken penalty kick and after a frenetic first fifteen minutes and considerable dominance of possession by the Irish the score was only 6-3 in favour of Ireland.  Sexton would bag another penalty and the score seemed to be creeping inexorably in favour of the Irish, especially as they were playing the territorial game so well and having the majority of possession.  Then this happened and reinforced just how dangerous Scotland have become.

To say that Stuart Hogg is perhaps a force of nature is rapidly becoming an understatement.  Give the man the ball anywhere on the field and he is more than likely to do something spectacular with it.  Not only is he possessed with an exceptional skill set he is now probably one of Test Rugby’s greatest entertainers and in our opinion, along with many others, has been the best fullback of the tournament.

Scotland were now ahead 10-9 and you sensed that this match was about to really open up.  However, sadly Scotland would suddenly find themselves slipping back into their old ways as discipline and decision making would get the better of them.  Flanker John Barclay was sin binned and a man down Scotland found themselves having to defend a ferocious Irish assault on their lines, which ended in Irish flanker and ball carrying sensation CJ Stander pole vaulting over a pile of Scottish bodies on the white line to get Ireland’s first try.  Minutes later a clever kick from Sexton would see two Scottish defenders have a communication breakdown as the ball went loose allowing winger Keith Earls to scoop it up and dot down Ireland’s second try.  Scotland would have the last laugh in the first half from a successful penalty kick from Greg Laidlaw to restore some respectability to the score line as Scotland trailed 21-13.

The second half would see Scotland essentially try to contain a confident Ireland who clearly had the measure of how to rattle their opponents and play on their perceived weaknesses in decision making and discipline.  Scrum half Conor Murray would, as he does so often, spot the tiniest of tunnels in the pile of Scottish bodies defending the line and squirt through to score Ireland’s third try early in the second half.  Scotland would hit back quickly through Ritchie Gray and some well worked pressure in the Irish half as the big lock would saunter over between the posts and keep Scotland well in touch of the score line trailing 28-20.  Scotland looked well in contention until a moment of disciplinary weakness would see them get a second yellow card as centre Alex Dunbar would make a pointless tip tackle on Irish fly half Johnny Sexton, even if it was milked for the cameras slightly by the Irishman.  As the game ebbed away, a tired and weakened Scotland finally started to cave.  Ireland would capitalise on them being a man down and lock Devin Toner would crash over from a lineout for Ireland’s fourth and final try.  Scotland still tried to make the most of a bad situation till the final whistle but those costly lapses in discipline and execution had once more proven to be their Achilles Heel and Ireland simply played a more comprehensive game which would see them worthy winners at 35-25.

It was a solid performance from Ireland and capped off two good displays at the tail end of the tournament which showed what Ireland is capable of.  While it was always going to be unlikely if not impossible for Ireland to lift the title for a third consecutive time, a strong finish in third place sets the tone nicely for a challenging tour to South Africa in June.  As Coach Joe Schmidt contemplates his future after the South African tour going into 2017, he surely must be pleased with the talent he has at his disposal should he choose to remain in charge of the Men in Green for the World Cup in 2019.  Flanker CJ Stander’s work rate and athleticism has been a marvel to behold all tournament, while Ultan Dillane and Josh van der Flier had impressive starts in the green shirt in the back row.  I still must confess to being disappointed at not seeing more of Ulster centre Stuart McCloskey in this tournament but hopefully the South African tour will redress this.  Meanwhile prop Jack McGrath was outstanding and it was good to see Donnacha Ryan and Tommy O’Donnell back in action in the forwards and they will be key resources going into the future. Ireland may be rebuilding, but there is more than enough potential to see them return to the lofty heights they reached last year.  I personally feel that with the disarray in the Springbok coaching department at the moment, the Irish trip to South Africa could be a profitable one.  South Africa will still be an immense challenge and a country bursting with talent but the possible candidates for the Springbok coaching job don’t leave us with much optimism, leading us to believe that Ireland could sneak more than just the one win most are predicting they will get.  Either way it should be an excellent opportunity for Coach Joe Schmidt to set the team he or his successor will need to work on building as they start the long road to Japan in 2019.

From Scotland’s point of view, it has been an encouraging tournament, but lingering doubts remain as to how much Scotland have managed to fix some of their core problems.  This is an exceptionally talented team guided by a visionary Coach in the shape of Vern Cotter.  However, the sea change in Scottish playing styles has been so dramatic since Cotter took charge that there are still some kinks left to be ironed out as the team still struggles to adapt at times.  Scottish execution and decision making still remains a problem even though as evidenced in the game against Wales and especially against France and Italy there have been wholesale improvements in this area.  In the game against France for example Scotland finally put in the complete performance they have been searching for since Cotter took charge.  If they can replicate that kind of effort and composure for the rest of the year, then Scottish fortunes on their tour of Japan and in the November Internationals look promising indeed.  Scottish supporters will no doubt feel frustrated that their team is so close but still relatively bereft of results, but I would argue that they are clearly getting there.  This tournament following so close after a tumultuous World Cup campaign for the Scots has been a very positive learning curve and there is plenty to take heart from.  Scotland possess one of the most exciting back lines in Test rugby, a solid and promising halfback partnership that blends youth and experience and a forward pack that is rapidly developing into a powerful and highly agile unit.  All the ingredients are there for success.  Furthermore, look at the increasing depth on the Scottish bench in any of the Six Nations and the future looks bright indeed.  Scotland know what they need to do, simply tighten up the discipline, maintain their composure and decision making under pressure and finesse their execution.  If they can do this consistently then a very exciting future awaits.  While it didn’t quite come to fruition in this Six Nations we saw more than enough evidence that it is surely not very far away!

France vs England
Final Score – France 21/England 31
Paris

We’ll be completely honest while we never really expected England to take the Grand Slam we had little or no doubt that they would be the side to lift the Six Nations trophy on March 19th.  As the tournament wore on England’s steady march to the ultimate prize seemed inevitable.  Wales looked like they might have derailed the English Grand Slam express at the death, but ultimately it was too little too late, despite English supporters wincing in the stands at Twickenham in the final ten minutes.  After that match it was left to France to try and produce some miracles in Paris, and they certainly made the effort but by this stage England were simply unstoppable.  If you have to look for a complete team display over five matches then England for the most part gets the nod, despite the defensive horror show of the final ten minutes against Wales and a seeming inability to really assert any kind of authority over Italy in the first half in Rome.  Disciplinary issues still remain, but Captain Dylan Hartley who has been a disciplinary pariah in the past, led admirably from the front in this department and worked hard at bringing his charges into line.  England looked good for the most part but are also aware that they let many opportunities slip past them.  A fact that Australia will be keenly aware of as they prepare to meet them in June.  Meanwhile France have made a relatively positive start to life under new Coach Guy Noves, but clearly have a long way to go before they can once more claim to be a dominant force in the Six Nations.  Captain Guilhem Guirado has been a revelation for France this tournament and was clearly one of the most inspirational Captains of this Six Nations, his work rate and never say die attitude has provided France with some solid leadership in a challenging campaign.  Winger Virimi Vakatawa has proved to be the danger he was built up to be, but his prowess in breaking open defences was often a solo effort in this tournament as the rest of his teammates struggled to catch up with him and his blistering speed and strength.  Vakatawa is a clear threat for France but his team has yet to figure out how to use him effectively, but once they do he should be the spark that sets alight some promising back line players.  Up front France is competitive but without that powerhouse front row of Guirado, Rabah Slimani and Eddy Ben Arous, they often looked vulnerable.  In short, plenty to work with but for now France is very much in the design stages.

The score line in this match perhaps doesn’t do justice to how hard France made England work for the full eighty minutes, and they surely must take heart from this performance even though they lost and sadly scored no tries, despite pressing agonisingly close on numerous occasions.  England on the other hand held their nerve, were the more clinical of the two sides and, just as they have all tournament, demonstrated just how far they have come in the three months since new Coach Eddie Jones has taken over after the World Cup debacle.  England were clearly the best side in the tournament and deserve all the accolades they have received in the last two months along with the Grand Slam.  Whether they are good enough to take apart Australia in two months, only time will tell but the foundations they have built in this tournament will certainly put them in good shape to make a serious impression on their Antipodean hosts.

France got the upper hand in the opening quarter of the match, as a lack of English discipline allowed scrum half Maxime Machenaud to put France ahead and he would continue to remain a reliable source of points with the boot all match for Les Bleus.  France looked the more enterprising of the two sides as they were ambitious and the more dominant of the two sides in attack.  After England’s Owen Farrell leveled the scores with a penalty kick France looked promising with some fine work from winger Virimi Vakatawa who was proving to be a handful for the English defences though sadly his colleagues were having trouble keeping up with him.  However, it was England and scrum half Danny Care who would ultimately make the statement as to how this game was going to unfold.

I have always found Ben Youngs to be a more reliable scrum half for England, but there is no question that Danny Care adds an X-factor that Youngs perhaps lacks.  With a keen eye for opportunity Care took advantage of a hole in the French defences that you could have run a legion through.  With only French prop Jefferson Poirot there to stop him there was really no contest.  Continuing English ill discipline especially in the scrums continued to cost England as France’s Machenaud kept them in touch.  However, England were increasingly getting the better of territory and possession despite French fullback Scott Spedding and winger Virimi Vakatawa’s efforts to the contrary.

It would be prop Dan Cole who has been a real part of the bedrock of England’s success in this tournament who would get England’s second try after some determined efforts by the English pack deep in the French 22.  England ended the half in charge at 17-12 but repeated incursions by the French had ensured that Machenaud were keeping France in the game.  As the teams headed into the tunnel it was still anyone’s game, especially if the French were able to keep up their obvious enthusiasm for the task at hand.

France certainly started the second half full of intent and had the English defences scrambling to contain them.  A penalty battle ensued in the first quarter with both sides trading accurate shots on goal and the score line remaining so tantalisingly close for both teams.  If anything it looked like France were getting the upper hand in attack despite some alarming errors starting to creep in as the frenetic pace of the game started to catch up with a French squad who were clearly not as well rested as their English opponents.  However, it would be Mr. Reliable, scrum half Ben Youngs who would come to England’s rescue after some solid ball carrying from Billy Vunipola.  The scrum half made a clever little break and then put a perfectly weighted grubber kick through for winger Anthony Watson to pounce on.  The winger held off France’s Wesley Fofana who himself was playing out of his preferred position at centre, much to the dismay of French supporters.  France however still managed to keep themselves in the game as another English indiscretion allowed Machenaud to bag France’s seventh penalty. The scrum half was proving to be spectacularly accurate with the boot and surely that has answered one question for Coach Guy Noves about who gets the kicking duties in the future.

English supporters would hold their breath as Captain and Hooker Dylan Hartley was taken off the field with twelve minutes to go, and given the fact that he had hit every target all night in the lineouts the concerns were valid. English centre Owen Farrell would boot one of the longest penalty attempts of his career and seal France’s fate as the game closed out in England’s favor at 28-21.   However, France suddenly seemed to run out of steam and as French replacement forward Xavier Chiocci headed to the sin bin the writing was clearly on the wall.  Farrell landed another penalty and as referee Nigel Owens blew for full time the relief and joy for England was there for all to see.  It seems hard to believe that this is the first Grand Slam in 13 years for England, but as a result it will be one of the sweetest they are likely to get for a long time.

Whether an England fan or not, you cannot deny that for the most part they were the best team by a country mile in a competition that often left us wanting for so much more.  England played with enough ambition and adventure to lay down the marker for other teams to beat in the Northern Hemisphere and while they may not have had as much flair as the Celtic nations at times, they were brutally effective when it mattered most.  Coach Eddie Jones has more than enough to work with as he prepares to be a tourist in his native land in June.  The second row combination of Maro Itoje and George Kruis is a bright beacon for the future while Jack Nowell proved his weight in gold on the wing.  England’s scrum still creaks somewhat but Hooker Dylan Hartley as Captain has been outstanding.  England’s back row still remains a problem, as they are essentially having to ask too many questions as to who really is their number seven?  However, with the burden of the Captaincy removed from his shoulders Chris Robshaw has really come back into the fold as one of England’s most reliable and experienced assets. However, Billy Vunipola at number eight is playing some of the best rugby of his career and as seen against Ireland is akin to a one-man panzer division.  Questions still remain around the halfback partnership with Danny Care and Ben Youngs having equal amounts to offer to the number nine jersey, but the questions surrounding George Ford’s lack of form in this tournament in the fly half berth need to be answered before England make the journey to Australia.  Owen Farrell, Mike Brown, Jonathan Joseph and Anthony Watson are all proven commodities but the question of what England’s centre pairing really should look like still remains up in the air.  In short, England are in a very good place as they look ahead to an exciting tour to Australia and a full slate of top drawer Internationals in the Fall.  The progress that Eddie Jones has made in three short months is remarkable and England look in very good health.  However, before England and their supporters get too carried away, it’s only once the Australian tour is over will we really know how far England has come, but so far the omens look good.

As for France, they have been ambitious and exciting at times but are clearly still very much a work in progress.  Captain Guilhem Guirado has rightly been labelled one of the standout performers of the tournament and he has provided France with some exceptional leadership in trying times.  However, the problems that continue to plague French rugby are still no closer to being answered despite Coach Guy Noves’ best efforts.  Until the domestic structure allows France to rest and train a national squad in line with the demands of International Test Rugby, it is unlikely that France will achieve much more than one-off spectacular results.  The likelihood of them stringing together a set of consistent wins still looks like a flight of fancy.  On their day they soon will be at the stage where they can beat anybody but then still proceed to implode a week later.  France needs consistency and so far it doesn’t look like they are going to get it.  They face a challenging tour to Argentina in June which has already been sacrificed to the needs of the domestic competition.  Up against a Pumas side revelling in their Super Rugby exposure and champing at the bit to set the right tone for the Rugby Championship in August, this is going to be an incredibly difficult tour for an exhausted and depleted French side.  However, it could be turned to France’s advantage if they use it as an opportunity to blood a new generation of up and coming youngsters.  France at least for this year will need to learn to work in spite of their domestic structure and as a result could end up learning some interesting and perhaps encouraging lessons for the future.  There is enough talent in France that the future should be viewed with a healthy dose of optimism especially now they seem to have in Guy Noves a Coach who is learning how to work with the constraints imposed on him.  There is still likely to be more pain than gain in the French camp over the next year, but I genuinely believe that France will be back and sooner rather than later.  For a nation with such a proud tradition in the sport we hope that this is genuinely going to be the case and that the management problems plaguing France regarding club versus country debate are hopefully worked out for the greater good.

In the final weekend of this year’s Six Nations it is up to France to derail the English Grand Slam Express, as the middle of the table looks wide open!

While it may not have quite the edge of the seat aura that last year’s Championship had, there is no question that this Six Nations has finally got the energy and excitement that were so conspicuously absent in the first three Rounds.  England have quietly but assuredly rebuilt themselves from the ruins of the World Cup, and it will require an extraordinary effort from France in Paris on Saturday to deprive England of a seemingly inevitable Grand Slam.  England already have the Championship sewn up, and while there have been moments of doubt in their campaign, the England of 2016 looks an infinitely more structured and focused side than the 2015 edition.  Wales will have to somehow forget a match against England a week ago that had they played with the same level of intensity they showed in the final ten minutes, it could well be Wales competing to lift the trophy this weekend.  Either way they should finish a strong second.

It’s the middle of the table where it is all up for grabs.  France themselves have shown some considerable promise at times this Championship and infinitely more enterprise and intent under new Coach Guy Noves than we ever saw under his predecessor Phillipe Saint-Andre.  However, France’s crippling domestic structure has left the national squad with a talented but ultimately exhausted group of individuals.  There is always the chance that in front of a home crowd France will lift themselves to produce their one extraordinary performance of the tournament as they always seem to manage to do, but it is a big ask and would also have to assume that England could be caught off guard for a full eighty minutes.  England were completely caught off balance by Wales last weekend for ten minutes, but it would seem unlikely that they haven’t prepared for such an eventuality against France and how to contain it.

However, it is the match up between Ireland and Scotland that is probably the most eagerly anticipated fixture of the weekend as these two duke it out for third place.  Ireland showed last weekend against Italy what a joy they are to watch when they are given space and allowed to run the ball.  Scotland meanwhile have managed to do this all tournament and as shown against France have honed it to a fine art, with probably the most dangerous strike runner of the tournament in the shape of fullback Stuart Hogg.  Saturday’s contest in Dublin will hopefully be a showpiece of expansive running rugby, and do much to answer questions regarding the gulf between Northern and Southern Hemisphere playing styles.  Lastly, Italy looks destined to hold aloft the wooden spoon this year as they take on Wales in Cardiff.  Italy have shown some genuine promise at times in this year’s tournament, however under pressure from better sides they have sadly imploded dramatically in the second half.   With a raft of injuries affecting Italy’s final fixture in this year’s tournament, it is hard to see a break from this pattern taking place on Saturday.

Wales vs Italy
Saturday, March 19th
Cardiff

With absolutely no disrespect to Italy of all the fixtures this weekend this is the easiest match to predict.  Wales pretty well have second place sewn up barring some sort of miracle in Paris on Saturday.  Italy on the other hand are in the same position for cementing their grasp on this year’s Wooden Spoon.  To avoid it they would have to put in a performance akin to the Second coming in front of a packed Millennium Stadium in Cardiff.  While Italian Captain Sergio Parisse is renown for inspiring his charges to produce the unexpected, such a reversal in Italian fortunes on Saturday would require a truly superhuman effort.  Wales meanwhile will be licking their wounds from only showing up to spoil England’s Six Nations party last weekend in the last ten minutes.  Only a massive score line against the unfortunate Italians will help ease the pain of that error in judgement last Saturday.  As a result, Italy will as always be brave but ultimately sacrificial lambs to a Welsh team looking to erase the memory of last weekend in a red rage.

Up front even without the likes of the legendary Alun Wyn-Jones and Sam Warburton, Wales has more than enough power to push Italy all over the park.  The Welsh front row although coming uncharacteristically unstuck against England last weekend, should easily have the edge over an Italian unit that has rarely fired this tournament.  The Welsh front row of Rob Evans, Samson Lee and Scott Baldwin needs little introduction and is unlikely to repeat the mistakes of last week.  This platform should be the blunt and highly effective edge of Wales forward dominance on Saturday.  In the second rows, once again it should be all about Wales.  Wales’ Bradley Davies alongside Luke Charteris should dominate the lineouts and Italy’s offerings in Quintin Geldenhuys and Valerio Bernabo are simply not of the same calibre.  In the back rows the contest is slightly more even, let’s face it Italy’s Alessandro Zanni and Francesco Minto have been no slackers this tournament, but up against Wales’ Justin Tipuric and Dan Lydiate who comes in to replace the injured Sam Warburton as Captain they will be pushed hard.  For me Justin Tipuric is one of Wales most underrated players and whenever he is on the pitch Wales develops an extra set of teeth as he is fast, agile and seemingly tireless in getting Wales turnover ball.  This Lydiate/Tipuric axis with the superb Taulupe Faletau backing it up at number eight should give Wales total dominance in the back rows, at the breakdowns and in any resulting loose play.  Italy’s Sergio Parisse at number eight will be a constant thorn in Wales side and alongside Zanni and Minto is a clear threat but just not quite of the same stature and reliability as the Welsh three.

In the halfbacks it is great to see Tommaso Allan make a return for Italy as he was one of Italy’s standout players for me in last year’s tournament and the World Cup.  He along with Carlo Canna is clearly the way forward for Italy at number ten.  However, he and Italy’s Kelly Haimona are still no match for the Welsh all star pair of Dan Biggar and Rhys Priestland, with the latter turning the game dramatically around for Wales last weekend when he came off the bench.  At scrum half, continuing injury problems mean Italy is more than up against it on Saturday, as newcomer Guglielmo Palazanni is simply no match for Welsh danger man Rhys Webb and his bench replacement Gareth Davies.  Expect total dominance by Wales in this department on Saturday.

In the backs, if Wales play with any kind of purpose here as they did in the final ten minutes at Twickenham last Saturday, then expect them to run riot over the Italians.  Welsh winger George North was on fire last weekend and expect to see him shredding Italian defences if given the green light.  The centre pairing of Jonathan Davies and Jamie Roberts are tried and trusted and when the former was allowed to really cut loose last weekend he added an enormous amount of variety to an otherwise far too predictable Welsh game plan.  Expect more of the same on Saturday.  Italy has the chance to challenge with Leonardo Sarto and Mattia Bellini on the wings though Sarto’s defensive skills last weekend were highly questionable at times.  Gonzalo Garcia is always a threat in the centre and a strong ball carrier but Italy will feel the absence of arguably their best player of the tournament Michele Campagnaro, with his replacement Andrea Pratichetti having to fill an enormous pair of boots.  At fullback David Odiete has impressed me for Italy in his first season with the Azurri but is no match for Wales’ Liam Williams especially under the high ball.  Italy can compete in the backs but given the sheer pedigree of the Welsh offering, and without the superb Michele Campagnaro Italy are likely to be playing catch up rugby in this department all afternoon.

In short, I fear a rather one sided contest in Cardiff, with Wales potentially running away with a cricket score.  If Italy start losing control of the match by the first quarter, which tired and dispirited as they now are is highly likely, this should be Wales day by at least 25 points.  I hope for Italy’s sake that they can dig deep and find some pride and hopefully keep themselves just in touch for the first quarter, but Wales have everything to prove on Saturday as they set their sights on a truly daunting tour of New Zealand in two months’ time.  Anything less than a clear display of total dominance by Wales on Saturday will have many wondering if it won’t be Wales who like Italy this Saturday will end up sacrificial lambs on the altar of World Rugby in June.

Ireland vs Scotland
Saturday, March 19th
Dublin

Grand Slam aspirations aside by England later in the afternoon, we have to be totally honest and admit that this is the fixture we are looking forward to the most this weekend.  Even though Italy were very poor last weekend, Ireland were an absolute joy to watch as they ran in nine superb tries.  Scotland against France also provided us with examples of sheer brilliance at times and are definitely the ‘flair’ side of the tournament matched to a set of basic skills and decision making that has finally come of age under Coach Vern Cotter.  With superb conditions forecast for Dublin on Saturday, we are hoping for a contest of free flowing and expansive rugby akin to what our Southern Hemisphere rivals are able to dish up on any given Saturday.  While we are always wary of hyping up a contest in this competition lest it degenerate into a tedious defensive slugfest, we can’t help feeling that Saturday’s tussle in Dublin should be a fascinating spectacle that should keep us on the edge of our seats for the full eighty minutes.  Whoever you may be supporting Saturday, we doubt you will leave feeling you haven’t just watched something slightly special.

Up front two very solid and experienced front rows go up against each other.  Ireland’s Rory Best, Jack McGrath and Mike Ross are clearly the more experienced trio, but Scotland’s WP Nel, Alasdair Dickinson and Ross Ford showed France who was boss last weekend.  However, in front of an Aviva Stadium in full voice at every scrum, I can’t help feeling that Ireland are just going to get the better of Scotland at times on most occasions here.  In the second rows, Ireland should also have the edge at lineout time with Devin Toner rediscovering some much needed form and Donnacha Ryan rapidly becoming a key component of a strong Irish challenge for the future.  Scotland’s Ritchie Gray and Tim Swinson are an impressive unit but they will miss Ritchie’s injured brother Johnny who has been instrumental in Scotland’s stellar rise in the last few months.  While I am delighted to see Ireland’s Tommy O’Donnell back in the back row mix for Ireland, and think the Irish flanker is clearly part of the enormous depth Ireland is developing in this area of the game, he and outstanding newcomer CJ Stander are going to have their work cut out for them trying to contain Scotland’s back row pair of John Barclay and John Hardie.  Scotland’s duo has been outstanding all tournament and are devastating in the loose and in defence, with a tackle rate that is off the charts.  Ireland will compete here make no mistake and this will be one of the most fascinating match ups of the afternoon, but I am giving the Scottish pair a slight degree of dominance here.  Lastly at number eight, Jamie Heaslip had one of his best days out for Ireland in recent memory last Saturday.  However, Scotland also seems to have a depth of talent in this position as well.  Ryan Wilson has impressed me in this tournament, and his bench replacement Josh Strauss is of equal calibre, though I am pleased to see Ireland having Ultan Dillane on their bench who has been outstanding every time he has come on for Ireland and another bright star for the future. I still can’t help feeling that Scotland’s back row is just that more ferocious and edgier than Ireland’s.  Close call to make but Scotland might just have a slight dominance in this area of the park on Saturday.

In the half backs, quality meets quality once more.  Johnny Sexton is back to his best as we saw last weekend against Italy and Conor Murray has rediscovered much of the confidence he has lacked at club level this year by playing alongside his Irish halfback partner Sexton.  Although Scotland are missing the exceptionally talented Finn Russell at fly half due to injury, his replacement last week Peter Horne proved to be an exceptionally capable replacement and I must confess to being surprised to not see him start this weekend.  Admittedly he is on the bench and Duncan Weir provides a certain X-factor at times to Scottish play, so Scotland are certainly fielding some quality in this department.  At scrum half Greg Laidlaw may not have the adventurism of Conor Murray but is more than reliable and a calm head when needed.  His replacement Sam Hidalgo-Clyne however has more of the ability to break a game up than Ireland’s bench warmer for Conor Murray in the shape of Eoin Reddan.  Still given the sheer Test quality of the Sexton/Murray partnership, it should be Ireland’s day in terms of game management on Saturday.  Off the bench though I would argue Scotland has the edge here, but should Ireland have a commanding lead by the time Hidalgo-Clyne and Horne come on then it should be Ireland’s day.

In the backs, no matter who you support there can be little question that everyone is looking forward to seeing Scottish fullback and playmaker Stuart Hogg in action once more this Saturday.  In terms of X-factor and the unexpected the contest between him and Ireland’s Simon Zebo should be one of the most entertaining match-ups we’ll see all Championship.  The Irishman is full of dancing feet and remarkable offloads, but Scotland’s Hogg has been consistently outstanding for Scotland all tournament.  Both players are exceptionally skilled but Hogg’s abilities in defence as well as in attack just give him the clear advantage here.  His decision making and eye for an opportunity is just that much better than Zebo’s so Scotland should get the better of this duel.  On the wings I can’t help feeling that Scotland’s Tim Visser and Tommy Seymour have twice the fizz, spark and speed that their accomplished Irish rivals have in the shape of Keith Earls and Andrew Trimble.  Given also that the Irish pair are prone to injury I can’t help feeling that Scotland will be running the touchlines just that bit better on Saturday.  It’s in the centres that the contest swings back in Ireland’s favour, even though I must confess to being very disappointed to see Ireland’s new rising star Stuart McCloskey once more not even make it onto the bench.  However, Ireland’s Robbie Henshaw has been outstanding for Ireland all tournament.  A ferocious tackler and exceptionally strong and fast with ball in hand he is going to be a complete handful for Scotland all afternoon.  His partner Jared Payne has also had a strong campaign for Ireland and this pair at home should give Ireland the edge they need.  Scotland’s offering in the centres of Alex Dunbar and Duncan Taylor put in a superb body of work last weekend against France and will provide a potential nightmare defensively for Ireland’s Henshaw and Payne, but I feel that the Irish pair’s defensive abilities are more than up to the task, whereas the Scots may struggle to contain the Irishmen in this area of the park.

In short, Ireland should win the battles up front even though they will be exceptionally close at times, but linked to Ireland’s tried and trusted halfback pairing of Sexton/Murray, the Irish platform should prove slightly more reliable under pressure than Scotland’s.  In the backs it really is open season and could go either way, with Scotland’s Stuart Hogg being such a danger that I actually feel that in terms of the running rugby we’ll see on Saturday, Scotland will actually be the better team.  However, that Irish defence coupled to the Schmidt/Sexton brains trust should just get Ireland home on the day.  It is going be close, ever so close and have spectators bouncing in out of their seats for the full eighty minutes, but Ireland to come out on top by three points.  Either way here’s hoping that it truly ends up being the spectacle it is being billed as!

France vs England
Saturday, March 19th
Paris

While France vs England matches these days may not quite have the aura of “Le Crunch” that they had in years gone by, they are always a fixture on the Six Nations calendar that is eagerly anticipated.  There is always the possibility of the element of surprise in this fixture with France usually providing it as they somehow manage to rise to the occasion.  France are not the Six Nations force of old as they struggle with a domestic structure that has hijacked the national cause, but in this match they still somehow manage to raise their level of intensity and produce their one ‘big’ game of the tournament.  It is hoped that this Saturday will be no different.  England have won the title and now only France stands in the way of their first Grand Slam in 13 years which seems hard to believe.  England while perhaps sticking to tradition in not being the most exciting team to watch in this tournament have clearly been the most effective and well structured.  Under new Coach Eddie Jones, they have a clear sense of purpose and the basic tools to get results.  While they almost dramatically imploded against Wales last weekend in the final ten minutes, the wake up call that provided is unlikely to be repeated in Paris on Saturday.  England look confident though not arrogant, and must clearly be the favourites to finish a strong Six Nations in style in Paris and reflect on a successful resurgence after the horrors of the World Cup.  England may not be the finished product yet that they need to be if they are to challenge the Southern Hemisphere sides on a regular basis but of all the sides in this year’s Six Nations, along with Scotland they have made the most progress in getting there.

England’s forward pack as a traditional staple has been exceptionally reliable this Six Nations.  Some new talent, most notably in the form of outstanding second rower Maro Itoje, have settled in well alongside more experienced players such as Chris Robshaw, Dylan Hartley, Billy Vunipola and Dan Cole.  Captain Dylan Hartley has really impressed in the leadership role and has simply left his critics with nothing to say – in short job well done and a superb character transformation.  In the front row, England will have clear advantage on Saturday.  Hartley, Cole and Mako Vunipola will be evenly matched by France’s exceptional Captain and Hooker Guilhem Guirado and prop Rabah Slimani.  However, for France prop Jefferson Poirot is likely to be the weak link and ultimately see England have dominance here.  Should Joe Marler be brought in for England early in the match then the contest would even up, as despite his colorful commentary in the scrum, I still think he is England’s weak link in the front row, especially in terms of technique.  In the second row, England’s offering of Maro Itoje and George Kruis is rock solid and offers some dynamism, strength and speed which France simply doesn’t have in their counter of Yoann Maestri and Alexandre Flanquart.  Meanwhile in the back row, England once again should have the edge with the experience of Chris Robshaw and James Haskell, even though for me the latter is not England’s most reliable asset.  France will compete here especially in the form of flanker Damien Chouly but England should still be dictating the pace at the breakdown.  At number eight, England has all the right cards in the shape of Billy Vunipola whose one-man tank brigade assaults on the Irish lines last month are already the stuff of legends.  I doubt that French newcomer Loann Goujon will be able to match the intensity of the Englishman.

At halfback, England should clearly have the run of play, as despite his dip in form this year English halfback George Ford is more of a reliable commodity than the mercurial Francois Trinh-Duc for France.  Danny Care at scrum half is perhaps a tad quicker out of the blocks than France’s Maxime Machenaud and benefits from having a clearer idea of what the need to offload should achieve than his French counterpart.  Unless Ford gets really rattled then I would expect England to have a much better system of game management in place than France on Saturday.

In the backs, expect to see plenty of offloading by France, but the problem seems to be that it is often slightly directionless and a tad predictable as breathtaking as it can be at times.  England on the other hand are more conservative but much more reliable when it comes to running the ball and spreading it wide, with a much better sense of what they are trying to achieve with it.  Jack Nowell and Anthony Watson have been outstanding for England on the wings, and Nowell in particular has really impressed in attack and defence.  France will be hoping that in their wingers Virimi Vakatawa and the superb Wesley Fofana they will have the X-factor that will keep England guessing on Saturday.  It is certainly possible with Vakatawa being a genuine force of nature.  However, doubts remain about Fofana’s place on the wing as opposed to his preferred position in the centre.  Vakatawa as devastating as he may be, has rarely had the support he needs once he cuts loose so far in this tournament, and unless France address this on Saturday, I can’t see them giving England to much to worry about on the wings.  In the centres, there are still some question marks around Owen Farrell, especially as with George Ford’s dip in form many are wondering why he is not running the fly half berth.  However, for the most part Farrell does seem to be working well with Jonathan Joseph in the centres for England.  Farrell’s vision compared with Joseph’s lightning bursts of speed make this a very hard pair to read and contain.  Gael Fickou is a quality centre as evidenced last Saturday, but for me the jury is still out on Maxime Mermoz and given the inconsistent delivery from France’s halfbacks, I can’t help feeling that England should be much more visible in centre field than France on Saturday.  Lastly at fullback, Mike Brown’s cocky demeanour is likely to be in for a bit of a bruising from France’s Scott Spedding, and I actually feel that this is one area where France are likely to teach England a few lessons on Saturday.  On top of that Spedding possesses a monster boot that is able to punish any English indiscretions from deep.

However, just as against Wales this is England’s game to lose and France’s to win.  England are clearly right on target for the Grand Slam.  France could upset their party but it will require a superhuman from an already exhausted and slightly disjointed side.  French Coach Guy Noves has made remarkable progress in the space of five matches in lifting a shattered national side from the ruins of the Saint-Andre years.  However, in the case of France, it is very much a work in progress that without a corresponding change in attitudes at the domestic level is unlikely to produce the kind of dramatic results needed on Saturday.  There will be some entertainment at times on Saturday in Paris, make no mistake, but it should be England’s day and ultimate Grand Slam by 12 points!

In Round 4 the Six Nations finally sparks into life with dramatic wins by Ireland, England and Scotland!

Yes, it’s back!  The Six Nations after one of the most uninspiring initial three rounds many of us can remember for a long time suddenly found a new lease of life this past weekend and provided us with three highly entertaining matches.  It wasn’t always pretty especially if you were Italian, Welsh or French but there is no doubt that after three false starts the tournament finally found some much needed tempo and excitement.  Ireland completely annihilated an admittedly very poor at times Italy, in a glorious display of running rugby which saw the Men in Green run in nine tries.  England then went on to take a step further in clinching the Championship with a win over Wales which in the last ten minutes almost slipped spectacularly away from them.  Finally, at Murrayfield, the Scots as we always knew they would provided us a display of skill at times that would have been the envy of any Southern Hemisphere team in arguably the most entertaining match of the weekend.  We cheered, cried and forgot to breathe on several occasions in 240 minutes of rugby that reaffirmed our faith in this much loved tournament.  We can only hope that it has set us up for a champagne finish this coming Saturday, even though unlike last year England has already won the Championship by being undefeated in the first four rounds and on track for an elusive Grand Slam for the first time in 13 years.  Although the Six Nations trophy is England’s already this year, next weekend will shed light on so many questions about the future of all six competitors, and with a weather forecast of sunny European skies it should provide for compelling viewing.

Ireland vs Italy
Final Score – Ireland 58/Italy 15
Dublin

We thought that in Dublin, Ireland were always destined to win this match by a comfortable margin as they desperately sought their first win of the season, but we never thought for a minute that they would do it in such an emphatic fashion.  Italy has looked promising at times in this year’s Six Nations and despite missing some key players, there is enough of a core for Italy that they should be able to provide any of the Six Nations teams with a healthy challenge.  Indeed, there were times last Saturday where Italy showed brief glimmers of promise, but sadly they ultimately imploded in the most spectacular fashion against an Irish side which grew in confidence with every score.  Ireland, had injury woes of their own, and despite some of us scratching our heads over some of Irish Coach Joe Schmidt’s selections they nevertheless paid off and Ireland completely outclassed their Italian rivals.  Whether or not Ireland will be able to repeat this kind of effort against arguably the most exciting attacking side in this year’s tournament, Scotland next weekend, is a huge ask but they certainly laid some solid foundations this Saturday in Dublin.

You sensed that as Ireland took to the field the pressure was all on them, especially in front of the Aviva faithful.  Italy too were without a win, but they didn’t have the pressure of dipping so low from being back to back Six Nations champions.  Ireland looked slightly nervous in the opening few minutes and to their credit Italy capitalised on this and almost got the first points of the match through a near try from centre Gonzalo Garcia who at the last moment was bundled into touch by some desperate Irish defence.  This Italian wake up call seemed to settle Irish nerves and for all intents and purposes Ireland proceeded to dominate Italy for the next 75 minutes.  Ireland came surging back at Italy and the resulting pressure caused some defensive madness from Italian winger Leonardo Sarto as he batted the ball backwards deep in his own 22 which Irish centre Jared Payne gleefully pounced on and took to ground.  Ireland quickly recycled the ball allowing winger Andrew Trimble to get the first of Ireland’s many five pointers that day.  Ireland had their tails up and were full of running rugby with the centres Jared Payne and Robbie Henshaw putting in enormous work rates in attack and defense as fly half Johnny Sexton provided the game management.  Irish prop Jack McGrath who was in fine form would secure Ireland’s second try, with flanker CJ Stander getting Ireland’s third minutes later.  Italy had responded with a penalty well taken by their fly half Edoardo Padovani, but trailing 20-3 it was starting to look like a whitewash by the first quarter.

Italy tried to respond as the clock wound down to half time, and in their defence put in some solid phases, with their superb centre Michele Campagnaro being at the heart of much of it, as he would be all match.  In essence for me Campagnaro was the only real stand out player for Italy on Saturday, and he is a real talent for the Azurri and a world class Test player.  However, despite Campagnaro’s and Italy’s efforts as half time approached, this happened producing probably the try of the tournament and putting Italy in an impossible starting position in the second half.

Ireland were now on a roll and starting to look almost unstoppable.  As Italy headed to the dressing room trailing 25-3 you couldn’t help feeling that there was only more pain to come as they increasingly looked out of ideas against an Irish side clearly revelling in the opportunity to be able to run freely again.

Italy looked rattled and dare I say it almost resigned to their fate as they came out in the second half and an easily read pass from Italian fly half Padovani, saw Irish centre Jared Payne streaking across the field to get Ireland’s fifth try.  Irish number eight Jamie Heaslip made an inspirational return to form and would go on to get his second try shortly after Payne’s efforts.  With thirty minutes to go, fly half Johnny Sexton’s work was considered done and he was replaced by Ian Madigan who put in a solid effort for the rest of the afternoon as well as bagging a sound try of his own later on.  Ireland were simply running riot now and as an exhausted and completely disorganised Italian effort sought to stem the green tidal wave, Ireland would run in a further four tries from Jamie Heaslip, Sean Cronin, Fergus McFadden and Ian Madigan.  Italy would get two consolation scores of their own from Winger Leonardo Sarto and fullback David Odiete, but it was little consolation from an afternoon which saw them well and truly outplayed.  Ireland put in a complete team performance and all 23 players stood up and were counted.

Ireland now face a massive final tussle for a probable third place with Scotland next Saturday in Dublin, and with the Scots showing that they can score from almost anywhere on the park, Ireland will face a much sterner test than what Italy provided.  For Italy, their tournament is all but over and it will be exceptionally hard for them to pick themselves up for their last game under Coach Jacques Brunel, as they go up against Wales in Cardiff.  Wales have their own questions to answer but nothing less than an emphatic win such as Ireland’s will do, meaning that next week’s encounter for Italy is likely to be just as painful as the lessons they learnt in Dublin.  For Ireland this performance should help get the team back to winning ways as well as bringing on some of the key new talents they have waiting in the wings.  While Ireland has had a tough time adjusting to life after the World Cup, last Saturday showed that this team when allowed to play with imagination and spirit has more than just a few tricks up its sleeve.

England vs Wales
Final Score – England 25/Wales 21
Twickenham

As this match was rightly being considered the title decider many feared it would degenerate into a cautious defensive game with few risks being taken by either side.  Fortunately, this was not the case, as England played with plenty of intent, and Wales despite living up to the billing for the first hour, suddenly and especially in the last ten minutes turned the game upside down, leaving us all to wonder what might have happened had they played that way for the full eighty minutes.  As England carved out a well-earned but nail-biting win at the end, it was an interesting contrast in styles.  England Coach Eddie Jones has clearly helped shaped the way he wants his team to play and allowed them the expression to do so.  Welsh Coach Warren Gatland on the other hand has stuck to a game plan that may have worked in the past, but increasingly looks set to be a relic of years gone by as the Northern Hemisphere sides seek to break free of traditional playing styles.  Once Wales ditched the formula in the last ten minutes and started playing the kind of rugby they clearly want to play, the match suddenly almost got turned on its head.  England have won the Championship, and can now focus on their first Grand Slam in 13 years, while Wales can hopefully afford to throw caution to the wind in their final game against Italy and really start to break free of the constraints in terms of a game plan that is clearly holding them back from achieving their true potential.

England were clearly relishing the prospect of this contest at home in front of a fervent and very vocal Twickenham crowd.  Right from the opening whistle they asserted their dominance over a Welsh side that suddenly looked desperately predictable.  England came out of the blocks full of intent while Wales on the other hand seemed to lack any kind of intent whatsoever in the first half.  Poor discipline in the scrum, endless missed tackles and numerous penalties going against them meant that Wales looked a shadow of the side that had put up such stiff resistance to an Irish side a month ago at the start of the tournament.  England on the other hand looked like they were just getting better with every outing and were not only clear tournament favourites but also on track for a Grand Slam.

England applied relentless pressure and Wales were struggling to keep a sense of composure in containing the English onslaught in the first quarter.  This allowed the boot of center Owen Farrell to put England in a commanding lead 9-0 within the first quarter, and England clearly running the show in terms of possession.  England’s back line in the shape of Nowell, Watson and Brown were constantly sniping and testing gaps in the Welsh defence but it would be England’s newest sensation and ultimate man of the match lock Maro Itoje who would set the stage for the first try of the game.

Wales would continue to struggle for the remainder of the first half, and continued indiscretions in terms of discipline would see England take a commanding lead 16-0 at half time.  As ecstatic English supporters cheered their heroes into the tunnel, Welsh supporters took out their binoculars frantically scanning the pitch to see if there was even a Welsh team out there.

The second half started in much the same vein and yet another penalty would see England leading 19-0.  It seemed likely to generate into a complete whitewash, and although exciting in terms of the play on offer from England and certainly not the snooze fest that many had predicted, without Wales offering much in the way of resistance it still had the feel of a slightly lacklustre contest.  However, as we headed into the final half hour of the match something changed in the Welsh outlook.  A degree of adventurism kicked in and who better to spark the Men in Red into life than fly half Dan Biggar.  After some heavy but ultimately fruitless assault work deep in the English 22, Biggar charged down a poorly gauged kick from English fly half George Ford, and the Welshman had acres of space to tear off into unopposed and set the ball down between the posts.  Trailing by 12 points was still a mountain to climb given the level of confidence on display from England, but Wales suddenly looked like a side with intent once more.  Welsh Captain Sam Warburton was stretchered off moments later, and it suddenly looked like perhaps the turnaround in Welsh fortunes was to be nothing more than an illusion.

With twenty minutes to go, the substitutions started coming thick and fast for both sides.  English fly half George Ford was having another match which clearly showed up the dip in form he has suffered this year, while his opposite number Dan Biggar was replaced by Rhys Priestland.  In my opinion Wales’ most valuable player at the breakdown and in the loose, flanker Justin Tipuric also came on to the field and Wales all of a sudden appeared to be throwing away the game plan and playing a game that relied less on Coach Warren Gatland’s ideas and more on their own instinct.  As we headed into the final ten minutes, Welsh winger George North finally got a chance to showcase just how dangerous and powerful he is when given space.

All of a sudden it was game on again, and although Wales still needed to score two more tries and convert at least one of them, given the new-found intensity they suddenly possessed and given their track record in this fixture at the World Cup last year, it didn’t seem beyond the realms of possibility that they were perhaps about to pull off a comeback that would be talked about for years to come.  Sure enough Welsh number eight Talupe Faletau would oblige five minutes later with another well worked try after some scintillating Welsh running and offloading.  Rhys Priestland would convert for Wales and all of a sudden Wales were within four points of derailing the English Grand Slam Express.  George North would make one more daring break down the touchline with less than a minute to go, but England’s Manu Tuilagi would bundle him into touch and then scrum half Danny Care would boot the ball into the crowd from the restart as Twickenham erupted in a collective roar of relief that could probably have been heard as far away as Cardiff.

We can only wonder what might have been if Wales had thrown away the Warren Gatland playbook and played with the risk and enterprise they showed in the last ten minutes.  England were deserved winners on the basis of a superb first half and exceptional composure and skill from key players like Maro Itoje who surely must now be considered an indispensable component of any England starting XV.  However, although now surely on track for the Grand Slam against a French side battling with direction, England must also be concerned about the nature of the Welsh comeback and how close they came to suddenly staring defeat in the face after essentially sewing up the game in the first forty.  That Wales were able to score two superb tries with ease in five minutes at such a critical juncture in the game is surely ringing more than just a few alarm bells for England Coach Eddie Jones.  That kind of breakdown and lack of focus against the Southern Hemisphere sides in the summer and autumn Internationals will cost England dearly and potentially unravel all the solid work that has clearly been done in the past five weeks.  Of all the Northern Hemisphere sides England have clearly made the most progress since the World Cup along with Scotland, but as evidenced by the final ten minutes of this match plenty of work still lies ahead of them if they really want to restore their place amongst the elite sides in World Rugby this year.

Scotland vs France
Final Score – Scotland 29/France 18
Edinburgh

For us here at the Lineout this was the game, despite the hype surrounding the clash at Twickenham, that we were all looking forward to the most and we certainly were’nt disappointed.  Scotland entertained in a superb display of sound decision-making and dazzling skills.  France were for the most part outclassed but had moments of their own most notably through their Captain, Hooker Guilhem Guirado who once again scored another superb try for his country and provided his charges with some rock solid inspiration and motivation for the full eighty minutes.  Scotland though really have become an exceptionally exciting team to watch, and now that their execution which so often let them down in the past has really been fine tuned, coupled to some excellent decision making and game management, they have become a side that any team should approach with a great deal of respect and caution.  While England has rebuilt since the World Cup, Scotland has experienced a genuine Renaissance and surely must be considered title contenders for next year’s tournament if they are able to continue to build on their momentum of the last few weeks.

This was a standout effort from the entire Scottish team, but there is little doubt that at times Scottish fullback Stuart Hogg was in a league of his own.  Hogg is clearly one of the most exciting players in international Test Rugby at the moment, but what really made his contribution so valuable on Sunday was how well the rest of his teammates were able to capitalise as a unit on the opportunities he created.

France meanwhile, were often outplayed but looked far less dire than they did against Wales a fortnight ago.  However as mentioned in the tries by Guirado and later centre Gael Fickou, France showed that they are not without ideas or intent, it just hasn’t gelled to the point where it can provide a genuine threat for a full eighty minutes, especially when key platforms of their game such as the scrum and multiple handling errors are constantly throwing them back on the defensive despite a clear willingness to attack and spread the ball wide.  It was clear in this match that despite an admirable willingness by France to offload as much as possible, there were clearly times when this was not the right option and a balance needs to be struck between spreading the ball and hanging onto it.  Once they do hang onto it then the platforms to ensure they retain possession need further work and better organisation.  Still there are signs that a reversal of fortunes in French rugby is taking place albeit slowly, and it was France who would make the first statement of intent in the match.  Winger Virimi Vakatawa showed just how good he is to ultimately put his Captain over the line for the first try and points of the match.

The build up to this try would see Scottish fly half Finn Russell leave the field with concussion and Scottish supporters suddenly shared a collective sense of anxiety as the young number ten has been such a pivotal part of Scotland’s recent successes.  They need not have feared.  Russell’s replacement Peter Horne played out of his skin and showed that at fly half Scotland now seemingly has some real strength in depth.  Horne was magnificent for Scotland on Sunday and calmly picked up where Russell left off.  France still seemed to have the initial momentum though and Scotland appeared slightly phased by the ferocity of the French surprise attacks and Russell’s early departure resulting in a few breakdowns in discipline.  Fortunately for Scotland, French fly half Francois Trinh-Duc had a horrendous day with the boot and as a result Scotland rarely had to pay for disciplinary indiscretions.

Scottish scrum half, Greg Laidlaw would soon get Scotland’s first points on the board through a penalty.  Scotland their calm restored suddenly looked the more dangerous of the two sides.  Horne and Hogg were clearly running the flow of play for Scotland and the fly half made a superb break through bewildered French defences which set in motion a series of phases that would ultimately see Stuart Hogg crash over in the corner.  What happened next as the wind really started to catch Scotland’s sails was just one of the many examples of glorious running rugby that Scotland seems gifted with these days.

As Scotland found themselves 18-5 ahead it looked like an epic rout was destined to take place.  France however, would not be left out of the limelight.  The Men in Blue managed to string together some good phases and some polished offloading saw centre Gael Fickou squeeze into the corner for France’s second try.  Trinh-Duc would finally manage to hit the gap between the uprights and the teams headed into the dressing rooms after a thrilling first half with France trailing 18-12.

Scotland put themselves back on the scoreboard again quickly after the restart from a thumping penalty kick from Jack of All Trades Stuart Hogg from inside the Scottish half.  France quickly returned the favour with a penalty kick from scrum half Maxime Machenaud who took over the kicking duties from Trinh-Duc who was struggling to make any of his footwork count.  This led to a brief period of French ascendancy in attack, but handling errors and a fanatical obsession with offloading at all costs saw a promising but ultimately fruitless passage of play from France.

However, it would be Scotland and that man Stuart Hogg who would once more show off a set of skills that in days gone by would have been most likely attributed to legendary “French flair”.  Indeed, after this tournament it would appear that the Scots are now the bearers of this lofty accolade.  Just have a look at the skill and decision making of Hogg in setting up Scotland’s third and game breaking try.

Scotland would remain camped in the French 22 for the remainder of the match and the constant pressure would see Laidlaw bag another three points for the Scots as fatigue and discipline problems started to take their toll.  France would make one last breakout from their own Maginot Line and a final assault on Hadrian’s wall, but better Scottish focus would see it disintegrate and as referee Glen Jackson called time, the Scottish players and Murrayfield erupted in a joyous and justified celebration.  Scotland played a complete and scintillating game, and France while bold at times just lacked the execution and imagination of their Scottish rivals.  It had been an enthralling contest that showed that expansive running rugby is alive and well in the Northern Hemisphere and being honed to a fine art in Scotland.

We can now look forward to a potentially thrilling encounter in the final round between Ireland and Scotland as these two sides most likely battle it out for third place.  Meanwhile France head back to Paris with the daunting task of trying to scupper the English Grand Slam juggernaut.  It will be the biggest test yet of French Coach Guy Noves, but if the decision making and execution by France improves in the space of a mere six days, in the way Scotland’s has in the last six weeks, then you never know – an upset of monumental proportions is still possible.  The finale of this year’s tournament is unlikely to be as nail-biting as last year’s, but we will certainly be glued to our television screens next Saturday as our much beloved tournament has once more learnt how to breathe fire!

Round 4 of the Six Nations sees England heading for a Grand Slam as Wales look to spoil their party, while everyone else struggles to keep up!

Round 4 of the Six Nations sees England look to consolidate their position at the top of the table and edge closer to not only the title but also a Grand Slam.  Wales, as they have been all tournament, look to be the side most likely to derail the English steamroller as the two meet this weekend at Fortress Twickenham.  Meanwhile Ireland find themselves having to fend off an Italian challenge in Dublin, a failure to do so would mean that Ireland would plummet from the dizzying heights of being back to back champions to suddenly finding themselves staring at a potential wooden spoon.  Italy have shown plenty of promise this year but as in years past look to possibly fizzle out in the dying stages of the tournament.  Last but not least a revitalized Scotland take on France at Murrayfield on Sunday, and given that Scotland have provided us with some of the most entertaining displays of rugby in the Northern Hemisphere this year, this in many ways could end up being the best game of the weekend.  France are trying to rebuild and have shown that the potential is there, but continued selection problems and a lack of direction at times have meant that France still has a long way to go before they become title contenders again.

Ireland vs Italy
Saturday, March 12th
Dublin

To say that Ireland have to win this weekend is probably the rugby understatement of the year so far.  Italy are under equal pressure but their track record in this competition since 2000, reflects their current position.  For Ireland however, as back to back champions they find themselves in a very uncomfortable position.  Ireland has plenty of talent and a bright future, but so far this Six Nations none of this seems to be coming to the fore.  Their opening draw against Wales left most Irish supporters with plenty of scope for optimism, however the lack to close out that game repeated itself in their next two encounters in a messy game against France and a spirited but disjointed effort against England.  Ireland is in transition and the big question is what risks should be being taken in terms of building for the future? Based on current selections it would seem very few.  Meanwhile Italy have looked surprisingly good for the first sixty minutes of each of their three games to date in the competition.  If they could catch Ireland off guard and keep them that way for eighty minutes, then in theory an upset is not beyond the realms of possibility especially with the incomparable Sergio Parisse leading the charge.  However, one can’t help feeling that to pull off such a miracle in Dublin is likely to be too much to ask.  Ireland are playing one of the best halfback pairings in Test Rugby in the shape of Johnny Sexton and Conor Murray while Italy field an untried combination and it is likely to be this if nothing else which should tip the balance firmly in favor of Ireland.

Up front, Ireland should be able to get the edge over Italy.  In the front rows Ireland clearly has the advantage in terms of experience and technique.  The Irish front row of Rory Best, Jack McGrath and Mike Ross packs significant big game temperament.  Italy will sorely miss the presence of Leonardo Ghiraldini, and as a result are likely to get given short shrift by their Irish counterparts.  In the second row however, the battle becomes slightly more balanced with Italy’s Marco Fuser a real workhorse.  However, Ireland’s Devin Toner and Donnacha Ryan should still see that Ireland runs the line of play here especially at the lineouts.  In the back row however, I regard it as an even contest.  Italy’s Alessandro Zanni and Francesco Minto have been outstanding all tournament and the battle between them and Ireland’s CJ Stander and Josh van der Flier should be superb entertainment on Saturday.  The two Irishmen have had outstanding debuts, but I would argue that the slightly longer time together for the Italian pair could well give Italy the edge here.  CJ Stander had a superb debut for Ireland against Wales but was strangely quiet against England.  Van der Flier is an enormous new talent for Ireland, but his lack of experience may at times be a liability.  Lastly at number eight as reliable and committed to the cause as Ireland’s Jamie Heaslip is, he just doesn’t have the ferocity, intensity and sheer work rate of his opposite number Italy’s Sergio Parisse.  Therefore, in the forwards I am giving the battle of the tight fives to Ireland but in the back row it could well be Italy’s day.

As mentioned above, it’s in the halfbacks where the cracks in Italy’s structure are likely to be most evident.  To be honest I know very little about Italy’s halfback pairing, other than the fact that their club showings in Europe have been poor to say the least. Fly half Edoardo Padovani and scrum half Guglielmo Palazzani both ply their trade with Zebre who are languishing at the bottom of the PRO 12 table.  Up against the world class experience of their Irish counterparts fly half Johnny Sexton and scrum half Conor Murray it is for all intents and purposes a non-starter in terms of a contest.  The Irish pair will simply dominate the run of play on Saturday, putting Ireland firmly in the driving seat.  I doubt that the two inexperienced Italians will be able to offer much in terms of a reply.

In the backs there is room for optimism from both sides.  Italy’s centre pairing of Gonzalo Garcia and Michele Campagnaro are world class.  By the same token Ireland’s Robbie Henshaw and Jared Payne have also proved themselves.  However, when allied to Johnny Sexton’s vision I give this contest clearly to Ireland.  Italy will be intensely competitive here, but without the brains trust Ireland has in the halfback department Italy will struggle to make the best use of their talented centers.  On the wings I have been impressed by Italian debutant Mattia Bellini and Leonardo Sarto is always a threat out wide.  However, Keith Earls and Andrew Trimble are proven commodities for Ireland in both attack and defence and should just give Ireland a slight edge over the Azurri on Saturday.  At fullback I have also been impressed by Italy’s new fullback David Odiete, although his lack of experience does lead to errors in execution in big matches like this especially as the pressure builds.  I must confess to being surprised at Ireland Coach Joe Schmidt choosing Simon Zebo at fullback.  Rob Kearney although injured has not impressed of late, and if anything Jared Payne would to me have been a much more logical choice having really stood out for Ulster this year at fullback.  This would also have allowed Stuart McCloskey another chance to gain experience in building an Irish centre pairing for the future alongside Robbie Henshaw.  Simon Zebo can be absolutely brilliant on attack and he stood up well to the defensive challenge against Wales, despite the fact that in the past there have been justified concerns about his defensive abilities.  However, if Zebo plays anything like he did against Wales this should help cement Ireland’s overall superiority in the backs on Saturday.

I imagine Ireland to play a conservative game as they look for a safe win, despite a very strong challenge from Italy.  If Ireland let the pressure of potentially being left with a wooden spoon get to them, then Italy could end up pulling off the upset of the tournament.  It should as a result be an entertaining contest, but ultimately one which should see Ireland pull away comfortably as the victors in the last quarter by 12.  It is after all being played in front of an expectant Dublin crowd.  The Championship may be well and truly consigned to history but Irish pride has never been more at stake and home advantage should clearly give the Men in Green an edge that Italy will find it hard to overcome.

England vs Wales
Saturday, March 12th
Twickenham

Many are billing this as the big game of the weekend, and given what it is at stake this comes as no surprise. However, as a result I can’t help feeling that of all the matches it will provide us with the least in terms of spectacle and entertainment.  It is likely to be a tight tense affair built around a solid defence that sees both sides reluctant to take chances.  Of the two sides England is likely to be the slightly more adventurous and expansive of the two sides, but I very much doubt the match is going to be a high scoring free flowing contest.  England look the more comprehensive side in terms of game plan, whereas Wales is clearly the more settled of the two sides.  Wales have the experience and cohesion of a team that has been up against it on a regular basis.  England on the other hand are bursting with talent and as their combinations continue to strengthen and develop they look to be the side that has the greater potential for the future.  England seem to have a clear idea of who they want to be and the type of game they want to play even if at times their execution is somewhat lacking.  Wales have a tried and trusted game plan that while lacking in imagination at times still seems able to produce results.  Wales may not be exciting but they are effective even if in the long run this inability to evolve their game plan may ultimately become their Achilles Heel.  It is going to be tight and perhaps not the most riveting of spectacles but I still can’t help feeling that much of the excitement to be generated on Saturday will come from England buoyed by them seeking revenge for being so unceremoniously knocked out of the World Cup by Wales.  If Wales can contain and dampen this English excitement and intensity they will be in a good position to derail England’s Grand Slam aspirations.  However, I can’t help feeling that England’s willingness to take more risks than Wales will ultimately give them the game by the finest of margins.

This is going to be an intensely physical encounter from the get go.  The Welsh front row despite its youth has proved impressive and seems to get better with every outing.  However, England’s experience in the front row in the shape of Captain Dylan Hartley, Dan Cole and Joe Marler is significant.  Cole was immense against Ireland and Hartley kept his composure and worked hard at keeping his charges on track, especially when discipline was proving to be a problem.  For me though the weak link in the English scrum is still Joe Marler and Wales’ Samson Lee is going to give him a stern examination on Saturday.  Despite England’s experience I am giving the battle of the front rows to the more dynamic Welsh offering.  In the second rows, my money is clearly on England.  Alun-Wyn Jones is immense for Wales but the English pair of George Kruis and debutant Maro Itoje are rapidly developing into a real powerhouse second row.  Kruis has enormous power while Itoje’s ability to get England turnover ball is rapidly becoming the stuff of legends.  In the back row I give the advantage back to Wales.  Sam Warburton is an outstanding Captain and a real menace in the loose along with Dan Lydiate.  Add to these two Welsh superhero Justin Tipuric waiting on the bench and Wales should dominate this area of play on Saturday.  England’s Chris Robshaw and James Haskell have plenty of experience but they simply don’t have the wrecking ball qualities of their Welsh counterparts.  The battle between England’s Billy Vunipola who was a one-man Panzer division against Ireland and Wales’ Talaupe Faletau should be one of the highlights of the match at number eight.  Vunipola’s sheer power will be exceptionally difficult to contain.  Faletau is equally powerful in broken play but what he lacks in terms of strength in comparison to Vunipola he more than makes up for in terms of agility.  Overall, though in terms of the physical battle, given their scrum and their back row, I am just giving the edge to Wales.

In the halfback pairings though it is almost impossible to choose, though on form I would give Wales a slight advantage here.  Fly half Dan Biggar and scrum half Gareth Davies for Wales have been outstanding and work exceptionally well together.  England’s scrum half Ben Youngs and fly half George Ford are absolutely top drawer but the latter has struggled at times in terms of form in this year’s Six Nations.  He was much better against Ireland and alongside Ben Youngs his regular English half back partner he seems to be much more confident.  Of the two sides though I would argue that the Welsh pair has slightly more of a big game temperament and the experience of tripping England up last year at the World Cup should just give them the nod on Saturday.

For me though it’s in the backs that England can and should win this match.  The English backs are much more adventurous as a unit than their Welsh counterparts and if provided with quality ball are much more likely to create opportunities than Wales. The centre pairing of Owen Farrell and Jonathan Joseph is proving to be the vision and pace in this department that England has lacked for so long.  Wales’ Jamie Roberts and Jonathan Davies are outstanding talents, but Roberts tends to be very predictable at times.  Jonathan Davies is the more expansive of the two and more likely to use the space available to him with more imagination.  However, as good as these two are, I can’t help feeling that England’s pair at Twickenham will just rise to the occasion that much more.  On the wings, England’s Jack Nowell and Anthony Watson have got better with each outing in this tournament, and Nowell in particular is proving to be a real handful in defence and attack.  Wales’ George North and Alex Cuthbert although impressive are for me just not as good as their English counterparts.  When he fires George North is one of the best in the world but I can’t help feeling that he has lost a lot of his intensity in the last year and his schoolboy fumbling try against France was an example.  When in the right place at the right time he is unstoppable, it’s just he rarely seems to get there much these days.  In the last line of defence at fullback and at Twickenham then it has to be Mike Brown’s day for England.  Whether you like him or not, you can’t deny that his tenacious if somewhat obnoxious attitude gets results.  In front of a home crowd Brown’s intensity is likely to get ramped up that extra notch.  Wales’ Liam Williams has impressed, and some of his individual skills may actually be better than Brown’s but as the complete fullback then I would say that the Englishman is more the overall package in tight encounters like these.

A high stakes match that will have plenty of tension awaits.  However, the tension itself may produce a conservative match that sees both teams unwilling to take risks.  Consequently, expect a tough first hour with few points up on the scoreboard.  If England are able to release their backline in the last quarter and really start to tire the resolute Welsh defence, then England should just pull away.  Close and almost impossible to call, but sticking my neck out here and giving it to England by five.

Scotland vs France
Sunday, March 13th
Edinburgh

For me this should be the most exciting game of the weekend.  In years gone by it was always France who were given the label of the flair side, but in our opinion this title has now gone to Scotland.  They may not always get it right in terms of execution but you can’t fault them on intent and willingness to play adventurous and exciting rugby.  In the match against Italy they finally managed to connect all the dots and Scotland’s exciting and expansive playing style are really starting to pay dividends.  For France they have shown plenty of intent and lots of potential, but still seem to be struggling with direction.  Perhaps the difference this year is how much we have seen in France that could be used for the future.  French Coach Guy Noves seems to be developing an idea of the team he wants after only three matches in charge, and when not handcuffed by the vagaries of the French club structure in terms of selection, he seems to be taking France in the right direction.  However, it is early days still for a new France whereas Scotland are finally starting to reap the rewards of tearing up the old playbook and embracing a bold new future.

In the front rows it is clearly an even battle.  Scotland in the shape of Alasdair Dickinson, Ross Ford and Willem Nel have one of the best scrummaging units in European rugby.  France boast the exceptional talent of Rabah Slimani and their Captain and Hooker Guilhem Guirado who was France’s standout player and source of inspiration in an otherwise dire effort against Wales.  However, Jefferson Poirot seems to be the weak link in the chain for France, and as a result this contest should be Scotland’s.  In the second rows the Gray brothers, Johnny and Richie are just that much more settled and effective as a unit than their French counterparts Yoann Maestri and Alexandre Flanquart and once again Scotland should have the edge here.  In the back rows it also should be Scotland’s day.  John Hardie and John Barclay were absolutely outstanding against Italy and expect the same on Sunday.  France’s Wenceslas Lauret and Yacouba Camara show plenty of promise for the future but as a unit are just not there yet in comparison to their Scottish counterparts.  At number eight it should be an even contest between Scotland’s Josh Strauss and France’s Damien Chouly, though the greater experience of the Frenchman should just see him have an advantage here.  Overall though I can’t help feeling that Scotland should be the master of the forward battles on Sunday.

In the halfbacks once again I would hand the benefit of the doubt to Scotland.  Fly half Finn Russell is electric and scrum half and Captain Greg Laidlaw is the steady hand on the tiller.  France’s Francois Trinh-Duc may have more experience and a slightly cooler head than his Scottish counterpart at fly half, but the Scotsman is more likely to take his chances when they present themselves.  Maxime Machenaud may have a greater burst of pace and intensity at the breakdown as scrum half than Scotland’s Greg Laidlaw, but his lack of composure at times coupled with occasional indecision means that France’s loses momentum at key moments.  Therefore, once again as long as Russell keeps his wits about him Scotland should be more effective at running a game plan than France.

In the backs there is plenty of excitement on offer from both sides.  France boasts a wealth of talent that could potentially be a nightmare for any defence.  However, once more though Scotland seems more effective at using their backs and creating opportunities with them than France.  France has some devastating ball carriers in the shape of Virimi Vakatawa and Wesley Fofana but often these players are expected to perform miracles on their own.  In the centres France have two talented players in Maxime Mermoz and Gael Fickou but without direction these two are likely to flounder in linking their attacks to a concerted team effort as we saw against Wales.  Scotland’s Alex Dunbar and Duncan Taylor may be the slightly less experienced pair but more likely to create opportunities that the rest of their team can build on.  On the wings, Scotland packs a tight unit in the shape of Tim Visser and Tommy Seymour with the latter rapidly becoming one of the masters of the high ball.  Visser’s speed and agility coupled with Seymour’s ability to read the aerial battles make these two a handful for any defence.  France’s Wesley Fofana and Virimi Vakatawa can rip defences to shreds in the blink of an eye but without adequate support which is something France is struggling to provide; their attacks rapidly lose the hard earned momentum that these two talented individuals create.  Once again two very talented sets of wings but given the fact that Scotland’s pair are likely to be better supported it should be Scotland’s day here once more.  Lastly at fullback Scotland boast one of the best players of the tournament in Stuart Hogg.  He has simply been inspirational this tournament and every time he gets the ball something happens.  One of the tournament’s most exciting players to watch by a country mile, Hogg should be at the forefront of getting Scotland deep into the French half.  France’s Scott Spedding has one of the biggest boots in Test Rugby and is a hard man to bring down but all too often is far too predictable.  He may be reliable but is unlikely to really spark a passage of play that is likely to surprise Scotland.  France has some exciting backs, but Scotland do as well and their ability to both create opportunities coupled with the support play needed from the rest of their teammates should clearly give the Scots the edge on Sunday.

Expect plenty of free flowing rugby especially from Scotland.  The Scots greater sense of vision of what they are trying to achieve should get them through a fascinating encounter on Sunday.  France will pose a serious threat, but Scotland who are now really starting to click as a unit and in front of an ecstatic home crowd should be the better team.  Consequently, we feel Scotland should ultimately walk away the victors by eight points!  Despite the high stakes taking place at Twickenham the day before, as a celebration of our glorious sport we have a feeling that this is the game you’ll really want to watch this weekend.